Tranmere Rovers vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prenton Park (Birkenhead).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	0.75
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
70% (268/384)	62% (183/294)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.07	0.49
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
31	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
70% (268/384)	62% (183/294)
Long passes
44% (35/80)	29% (26/91)
Passes in final third
55% (71/129)	56% (79/140)
Crosses
53% (9/17)	10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.74
Throw-ins
42	31
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
77% (10/13)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
58	65
Clearances
36	34
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.49	1.07
Goals prevented
0.49	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Patrick O. (Own goal),
26', Stirk R. 🟨,
40', Dunkley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
70', Mandeville L. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
78', Davison J. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
78', Whitaker C. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
78', Norman C. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
89', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Jennings C. ⚽, Blacker B. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tranmere Rovers
33%

Draw
28.2%

Chesterfield
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.07)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)	6.6% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: Tranmere Rovers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Tranmere has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chesterfield is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Calf Injury) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Knee Injury) Elliott G. (Inactive) Grigg W. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Lowe J. (Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Williams T. (Surgery)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Chesterfield?

Tranmere Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Tranmere Rovers?

Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield were as follows:

05.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 4:0

07.12.2024 Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers 3:0

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

18.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers 1:4 ✺

11.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Barnet 0:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Bromley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cambridge United 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

18.10.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Chesterfield - Salford City 2:0 ✺

07.10.2025 Chesterfield - Burton Albion 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Colchester United - Chesterfield 6:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Chesterfield - Newport County 4:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	33	18	11	4	56:34	22	65
2	Cambridge Utd	33	18	9	6	48:26	22	63
3	MK Dons	33	17	10	6	62:33	29	61
4	Notts Co	33	18	7	8	52:32	20	61
5	Swindon	34	19	4	11	56:40	16	61
6	Crewe	34	15	8	11	50:40	10	53
7	Chesterfield	33	13	14	6	52:43	9	53
8	Salford	32	16	4	12	45:43	2	52
9	Barnet	34	13	11	10	43:37	6	50
10	Walsall	32	14	8	10	40:35	5	50
11	Colchester	32	13	10	9	48:34	14	49
12	Grimsby	32	13	10	9	45:37	8	49
13	Accrington	33	13	7	13	36:34	2	46
14	Fleetwood	32	12	8	12	43:42	1	44
15	Oldham	31	10	12	9	34:30	4	42
16	Gillingham	32	10	11	11	40:41	-1	41
17	Shrewsbury	34	10	8	16	33:52	-19	38
18	Tranmere	33	9	8	16	45:57	-12	35
19	Cheltenham	32	10	5	17	33:54	-21	35
20	Bristol Rovers	33	9	3	21	32:56	-24	30
21	Crawley	34	6	10	18	33:54	-21	28
22	Barrow	32	7	6	19	33:50	-17	27
23	Harrogate	34	6	8	20	24:51	-27	26
24	Newport	33	6	6	21	32:60	-28	24

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League