Chesterfield vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield).

League Two - Round 41
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.72	0.21
Ball possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
82% (440/536)	71% (229/321)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.72	0.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	0.33
Total shots
13	6
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
7	2
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
3	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
17	8
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
6	11
Passes
82% (440/536)	71% (229/321)
Long passes
41% (30/73)	46% (41/89)
Passes in final third
72% (115/159)	50% (34/68)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.16
Throw ins
24	34
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
53% (10/19)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances
24	26
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.33	1.34
Goals prevented
0.33	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Dickson W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
35', Mandeville L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Cundy R. 🟨,
67', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
67', Naylor T. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
67', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
67', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
72', Miller G. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
72', Stevenson B. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
80', Young L. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
80', Broom R. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
80', Thomas J. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
88', Mandeville L. ↓, Curtis S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chesterfield
58.2%

Draw
24%

Cheltenham Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	3.91 ↓ (4.06)	5.22 ↑ (5.17)	6.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J. (Shin Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Grigg W. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Faal M. (Inactive) Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F. (Inactive) Pearce T. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Cheltenham Town?

Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Chesterfield?

Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

09.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield 0:2

01.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield 1:0

21.09.2024 Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town 1:1

Latest results of Chesterfield

21.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Notts County - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town 2:3 ✺

03.03.2026 Chesterfield - Colchester United 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

21.03.2026 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 5:2 ✺

17.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League