Chicago Fire II vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
85% (368/434)80% (334/417)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.942.68
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
85% (368/434)80% (334/417)
Long passes
49% (21/43)36% (12/33)
Passes in final third
76% (78/103)61% (67/110)
Crosses
22% (2/9)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.34
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1415
Tackles
75% (6/8)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
1416
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.681.94
Goals prevented
-1.32-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', Dowd B. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Shokalook J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Fleming R. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 48', Diouf J. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Musu S. ,
  • 61', Osorio H. , Poreba D. ,
  • 63', Murray M. , Infuso P. ,
  • 64', Williams S. 🟨,
  • 67', Lim E. , Ponce J. ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, Poreba D. ,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Musu S. ,
  • 72', Nigg D. , Hyte D. ,
  • 72', Kanyane G. , Herrera E. ,
  • 76', 3 - 4, Musu S. (Pen),
  • 77', Guarino E. , Bilden J. ,
  • 77', Elias P. , McCamy C. ,
  • 80', 4 - 4, Shokalook J. ,
  • 89', 4 - 5, Ponce J. ,
  • 89', Ponce J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carrizo M. , Loura J. ,
  • 90+3', Musu S. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
54.9%
Draw
21.8%
New York City II
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 19.6% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 18.7% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Chicago Fire II - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.57)
    4.2
    (4.7)
    3.94
    (4.25)
    9.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 1.
    • Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New York City II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chicago Fire II is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - New York City II were as follows:
    08.08.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:4
    23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    23.08.2024 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    14.07.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 0:2
    13.05.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 2:4
    Latest results of New York City II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)