Chicago Fire II vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
14/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
85% (368/434)80% (334/417)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.942.68
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
85% (368/434)80% (334/417)
Long passes
49% (21/43)36% (12/33)
Passes in final third
76% (78/103)61% (67/110)
Crosses
22% (2/9)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.34
Throw-ins
1020
Fouls
1415
Tackles
75% (6/8)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
1416
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.681.94
Goals prevented
-1.32-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', Dowd B. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Shokalook J. ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Fleming R. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 48', Diouf J. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Musu S. ,
  • 61', Osorio H. , Poreba D. ,
  • 63', Murray M. , Infuso P. ,
  • 64', Williams S. 🟨,
  • 67', Lim E. , Ponce J. ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, Poreba D. ,
  • 72', 3 - 3, Musu S. ,
  • 72', Nigg D. , Hyte D. ,
  • 72', Kanyane G. , Herrera E. ,
  • 76', 3 - 4, Musu S. (Pen),
  • 77', Guarino E. , Bilden J. ,
  • 77', Elias P. , McCamy C. ,
  • 80', 4 - 4, Shokalook J. ,
  • 89', 4 - 5, Ponce J. ,
  • 89', Ponce J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carrizo M. , Loura J. ,
  • 90+3', Musu S. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
54.9%
Draw
21.8%
New York City II
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 19.6% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 18.7% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Chicago Fire II - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.57)
    4.2
    (4.7)
    3.94
    (4.25)
    9.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 1.
    • Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New York City II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chicago Fire II is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - New York City II were as follows:
    08.08.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:4
    23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    23.08.2024 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    14.07.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 0:2
    13.05.2024 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 2:4
    Latest results of New York City II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County311018:75
    4Portland Timbers 2311012:65
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Minnesota 2420026:76
    7Ventura County311018:75
    8Portland Timbers 2311012:65
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)