Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.91
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
156
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (398/455)90% (474/528)
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.91
xG on target (xGOT)
3.652.13
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
156
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
913
Passes
87% (398/455)90% (474/528)
Long passes
46% (11/24)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
82% (138/168)76% (78/102)
Crosses
13% (2/16)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.74
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
139
Tackles
72% (13/18)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
313
xGOT faced
2.133.65
Goals prevented
-0.871.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Sharp C. , Sullivan M. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Cassano C. , Shokalook J. (A),
  • 39', Kapor S. 🟨,
  • 42', Ythallo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 1, Sharp C. ,
  • 66', Olguin L. 🟨,
  • 67', Osorio H. 🟨,
  • 69', Kapor S. , Fisher R. ,
  • 69', Sharp C. , Nugent J. ,
  • 69', Nolan J. , Ayari H. ,
  • 70', Oyegunle O. , Konincks D. ,
  • 71', Soudan P. , Tchetchao D. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 75', 2 - 3, Shokalook J. , Osorio H. (A),
  • 78', Fortier T. , Bossenberry A. ,
  • 78', Edwards N. , Henry M. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 86', Olguin L. 🟨,
  • 90', Reynolds J. , Pfrommer J. ,
  • 90+4', Osorio H. , Montiel J. ,
  • 90+5', Shokalook J. , Boltz D. ,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
38.7%
Draw
26%
Chicago Fire II
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.2% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.12)
    3.53
    (3.75)
    2.59
    (2.75)
    9.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toronto FC II will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • In recent matches, Toronto II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago Fire II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago Fire II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.4:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 2.4:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II 2:0
    13.03.2025 Chicago Fire II - Toronto FC II 1:0
    10.07.2024 Chicago Fire II - Toronto FC II 2:0
    31.05.2024 Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II 1:4
    21.05.2023 Toronto FC II - Chicago Fire II 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of Chicago Fire II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)