Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Gonzales G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 2 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (375/457) | 88% (482/550) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (375/457) | 88% (482/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 67% (41/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (105/142) | 77% (135/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (12/12) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Jacob T. 🟨,
- 8', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Bamba J. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Barroso L. 🟨,
- 66', Sanchez C. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
- 68', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 68', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 78', Baez E. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
- 78', Latte Lath E. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
- 78', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
- 89', Galarza M. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
- 89', Bamba J. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
- 89', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
62.3% | Draw
21.8% | Atlanta United
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Chicago Fire - Atlanta United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
4.33 ↑
(4.12) |
5.98 ↑
(5.38) |
4.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Atlanta United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
- Chicago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlanta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Atlanta has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chicago is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Chicago: Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Atlanta: Galarza M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Waterman J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Sergio Santos
(Illness)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Atlanta United?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Chicago Fire?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Atlanta United were as follows:
16.07.2025
Atlanta United
-
Chicago Fire
2:2
10.05.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
2:1
27.04.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
0:0
31.03.2024
Atlanta United
-
Chicago Fire
3:0
20.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
3:3
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of Atlanta United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | New York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | DC United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
