Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 4, TSN 5 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (473/532) | 89% (449/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (473/532) | 89% (449/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (103/144) | 84% (95/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
- 28', Oregel S. 🟨,
- 31', Amador P. 🟨,
- 35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ⚽, Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
- 67', Oregel S. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 67', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 71', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 71', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
- 71', Muyumba T. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
- 81', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 83', Slisz B. 🟨,
- 87', Lennon B. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
- 87', Abram L. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
- 89', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
- 89', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
41.5% | Draw
24.4% | Chicago Fire
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.15) |
3.9 ↑
(3.77) |
2.78 ↓
(3.17) |
5.2%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17% – 68.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Chicago (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Chicago (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Atlanta (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chicago Fire will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 25%). Chicago (votes: 6 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J.
(Forearm injury)
Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Williams D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C.
(Leg Injury)
Mueller C.
(Personal Reasons)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
Guzan B.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J.
(Head Injury)
Teran C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Chicago Fire?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Atlanta United?
Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
10.05.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
2:1
27.04.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
0:0
31.03.2024
Atlanta United
-
Chicago Fire
3:0
20.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Atlanta United
3:3
23.04.2023
Atlanta United
-
Chicago Fire
2:1
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Chicago Fire
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
