Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Chicago Fire
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.81
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
611
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Long passes
55% (22/40)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
72% (103/144)84% (95/113)
Crosses
10% (2/21)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.28
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
116
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
2832
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.810.21
Goals prevented
-0.19-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 28', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 31', Amador P. 🟨,
  • 35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. , Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
  • 67', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 67', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 71', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 71', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 71', Muyumba T. , Reilly W. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. , Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
  • 81', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 83', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 87', Lennon B. , Edwards M. ,
  • 87', Abram L. , Togashi C. ,
  • 89', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 89', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.5%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.15)
    3.9
    (3.77)
    2.78
    (3.17)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Guzan B. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J. (Head Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2