Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - Chicago Fire
Result
2:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.211.81
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
611
Passes
89% (473/532)89% (449/503)
Long passes
55% (22/40)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
72% (103/144)84% (95/113)
Crosses
10% (2/21)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.131.28
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
116
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
2832
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.810.21
Goals prevented
-0.19-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 28', Oregel S. 🟨,
  • 31', Amador P. 🟨,
  • 35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. , Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
  • 67', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 67', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 71', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 71', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 71', Muyumba T. , Reilly W. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. , Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
  • 81', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 83', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 87', Lennon B. , Edwards M. ,
  • 87', Abram L. , Togashi C. ,
  • 89', Zinckernagel P. , Barroso L. ,
  • 89', Cuypers H. , Barlow T. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.5%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.4% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.15)
    3.9
    (3.77)
    2.78
    (3.17)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Guzan B. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J. (Head Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

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    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
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    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
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    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
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    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)