Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 4, TSN 5
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	1.78
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
4	8
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
89% (473/532)	89% (449/503)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20	1.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.21	1.81
Total shots
10	14
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
12	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
89% (473/532)	89% (449/503)
Long passes
55% (22/40)	50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
72% (103/144)	84% (95/113)
Crosses
10% (2/21)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	1.28
Throw-ins
23	13
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
75% (9/12)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
28	32
Clearances
15	27
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.81	0.21
Goals prevented
-0.19	-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
28', Oregel S. 🟨,
31', Amador P. 🟨,
35', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ⚽, Almiron M. (A), Slisz B. (A2)
67', Oregel S. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
67', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
71', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
71', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
71', Muyumba T. ↓, Reilly W. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
81', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
83', Slisz B. 🟨,
87', Lennon B. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
87', Abram L. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
89', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
89', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Reilly W. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlanta United
41.5%

Draw
24.4%

Chicago Fire
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26%

31%

Atlanta United - Chicago Fire Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)	3.9 ↑ (3.77)	2.78 ↓ (3.17)	5.2% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Chicago Fire?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chicago (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chicago (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlanta (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chicago Fire will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 25%). Chicago (votes: 6 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Guzan B. (Face Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Reynolds J. (Head Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2.5:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Chicago Fire?

Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Atlanta United?

Chicago Fire has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Chicago Fire were as follows:

10.05.2025 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 2:1

27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0

31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0

20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3

23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1

Latest results of Atlanta United

12.07.2025 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 DC United - Atlanta United 0:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Atlanta United 3:1 ✺

12.06.2025 New York City - Atlanta United 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Chicago Fire

12.07.2025 Chicago Fire - San Diego 1:2 ✺

08.07.2025 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 3:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Nashville SC 0:2 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)