Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.38
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
115
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Long passes
45% (21/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
76% (77/101)71% (107/151)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.69
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
511
Tackles
78% (18/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.382.04
Goals prevented
0.381.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Gjengaar D. , Carmona W. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gutierrez B. , Kouame R. ,
  • 62', Teran C. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 62', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 65', Edelman D. , Hall J. ,
  • 65', Valencia O. , Nealis D. ,
  • 74', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 78', Gutman A. , Dean J. ,
  • 81', Duncan K. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 82', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 89', Forsberg E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
52.8%
Draw
23.7%
New York Red Bulls
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.06)
    3.98
    (3.7)
    4.04
    (3.42)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
    • Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chicago is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R. (Yellow Cards) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)