Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (447/509) | 84% (410/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (447/509) | 84% (410/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (77/101) | 71% (107/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', Gjengaar D. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Gutierrez B. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 62', Teran C. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 62', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 65', Edelman D. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 65', Valencia O. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,
- 74', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 78', Gutman A. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 81', Duncan K. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
- 82', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 89', Forsberg E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
52.8% | Draw
23.7% | New York Red Bulls
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.06) |
3.98 ↑
(3.7) |
4.04 ↑
(3.42) |
5.1%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Chicago (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
- Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Chicago is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C.
(Leg Injury)
Mueller C.
(Personal Reasons)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R.
(Yellow Cards)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
Ngoma S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against New York Red Bulls?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Chicago Fire?
New York Red Bulls has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
05.04.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
Chicago Fire
2:1
14.09.2024
Chicago Fire
-
New York Red Bulls
2:1
13.04.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Chicago Fire
0:0
30.09.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Chicago Fire
0:1
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | New York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | DC United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
