Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.38
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
115
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Long passes
45% (21/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
76% (77/101)71% (107/151)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.69
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
511
Tackles
78% (18/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.382.04
Goals prevented
0.381.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Gjengaar D. , Carmona W. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gutierrez B. , Kouame R. ,
  • 62', Teran C. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 62', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 65', Edelman D. , Hall J. ,
  • 65', Valencia O. , Nealis D. ,
  • 74', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 78', Gutman A. , Dean J. ,
  • 81', Duncan K. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 82', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 89', Forsberg E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
52.8%
Draw
23.7%
New York Red Bulls
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.06)
    3.98
    (3.7)
    4.04
    (3.42)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
    • Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chicago is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R. (Yellow Cards) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2