New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.61
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1720
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
156
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Long passes
33% (19/57)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
68% (84/124)81% (103/127)
Crosses
50% (5/10)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.56
Fouls
615
Tackles
81% (21/26)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6148
Clearances Total
1711
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.611.96
Goals prevented
1.61-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A), Cuypers H. (A2)
  • 37', Rogers S. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ngoma S. , Valencia O. (A), Eile N. (A2)
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Reynolds J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 62', Acosta K. , Barlow T. ,
  • 62', Kouame R. , Pineda M. ,
  • 69', Sofo M. , Carmona W. ,
  • 69', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 76', Carballo F. , Stroud P. ,
  • 84', Gutman A. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 87', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 87', Forsberg E. , Nealis S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.8%
Draw
26.5%
Chicago Fire
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 25.5% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.69)
    3.61
    (4.03)
    3.89
    (4.87)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chicago is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Dean J. (Chest Injury) Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Gutierrez B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Acosta K. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:22 (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
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