Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.38
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
115
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Long passes
45% (21/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
76% (77/101)71% (107/151)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.69
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
511
Tackles
78% (18/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.382.04
Goals prevented
0.381.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Gjengaar D. , Carmona W. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gutierrez B. , Kouame R. ,
  • 62', Teran C. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 62', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 65', Edelman D. , Hall J. ,
  • 65', Valencia O. , Nealis D. ,
  • 74', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 78', Gutman A. , Dean J. ,
  • 81', Duncan K. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 82', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 89', Forsberg E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
52.8%
Draw
23.7%
New York Red Bulls
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.06)
    3.98
    (3.7)
    4.04
    (3.42)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
    • Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chicago is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R. (Yellow Cards) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)