Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - St. Louis City
Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Long passes
67% (32/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
78% (102/130)71% (87/122)
Crosses
35% (6/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.70
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
811
Tackles
71% (10/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.431.48
Goals prevented
-0.57-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. , Gutman A. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 36', Hartel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Ostrak T. ,
  • 57', Orozco J. , Wallem C. ,
  • 57', Kessler H. , Fall F. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Ostrak T. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 61', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 70', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 70', Ostrak T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 78', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 78', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 85', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Gutierrez B. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 90+1', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. ,
  • 90+3', Burki R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
58.5%
Draw
20.8%
St. Louis City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 22.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for St. Louis City aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.54
    (4.29)
    4.6
    (4.49)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 St. Louis City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    13.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 1:0
    09.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)