Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - St. Louis City
Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Long passes
67% (32/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
78% (102/130)71% (87/122)
Crosses
35% (6/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.70
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
811
Tackles
71% (10/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.431.48
Goals prevented
-0.57-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. , Gutman A. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 36', Hartel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Ostrak T. ,
  • 57', Orozco J. , Wallem C. ,
  • 57', Kessler H. , Fall F. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Ostrak T. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 61', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 70', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 70', Ostrak T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 78', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 78', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 85', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Gutierrez B. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 90+1', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. ,
  • 90+3', Burki R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
58.5%
Draw
20.8%
St. Louis City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 22.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for St. Louis City aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.54
    (4.29)
    4.6
    (4.49)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 St. Louis City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    13.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 1:0
    09.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2