Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/450) | 84% (357/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/450) | 84% (357/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (32/48) | 57% (25/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (102/130) | 71% (87/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
- 36', Hartel M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Ostrak T. ⚽,
- 57', Orozco J. ↓, Wallem C. ↑,
- 57', Kessler H. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Hartel M. ⚽, Ostrak T. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
- 61', Ostrak T. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 2, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
- 70', Oregel S. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
- 70', Ostrak T. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
- 78', Barroso L. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 78', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
- 85', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Gutierrez B. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
- 90+1', Lowen E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 90+3', Burki R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
58.5% | Draw
20.8% | St. Louis City
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.4%)The ML Model estimate for St. Louis City aligns with the current prediction.
Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.69) |
4.54 ↑
(4.29) |
4.6 ↑
(4.49) |
5.2%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Poreba D.
(Knee Injury)
Rogers S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Teuchert C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wentzel M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against St. Louis City?
Chicago Fire has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Chicago Fire?
St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
11.05.2024
St. Louis City
-
Chicago Fire
3:1
13.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
St. Louis City
1:0
09.05.2023
Chicago Fire
-
St. Louis City
2:1
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of St. Louis City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | San Diego FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | DC United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
