Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Chicago Fire - St. Louis City
Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Long passes
67% (32/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
78% (102/130)71% (87/122)
Crosses
35% (6/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.70
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
811
Tackles
71% (10/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.431.48
Goals prevented
-0.57-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. , Gutman A. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 36', Hartel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Ostrak T. ,
  • 57', Orozco J. , Wallem C. ,
  • 57', Kessler H. , Fall F. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Ostrak T. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 61', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 70', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 70', Ostrak T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 78', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 78', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 85', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Gutierrez B. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 90+1', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. ,
  • 90+3', Burki R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
58.5%
Draw
20.8%
St. Louis City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 22.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for St. Louis City aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.54
    (4.29)
    4.6
    (4.49)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 St. Louis City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    13.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 1:0
    09.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)