Chicago Fire vs St. Louis City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.43
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (401/450)84% (357/427)
Long passes
67% (32/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
78% (102/130)71% (87/122)
Crosses
35% (6/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.70
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
811
Tackles
71% (10/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.431.48
Goals prevented
-0.57-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. , Gutman A. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 36', Hartel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Ostrak T. ,
  • 57', Orozco J. , Wallem C. ,
  • 57', Kessler H. , Fall F. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Hartel M. , Ostrak T. (A), Wallem C. (A2)
  • 61', Ostrak T. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 70', Oregel S. , Acosta K. ,
  • 70', Ostrak T. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 78', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 78', Bamba J. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 85', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Gutierrez B. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 90+1', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zinckernagel P. , Pineda M. ,
  • 90+3', Burki R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
58.5%
Draw
20.8%
St. Louis City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 22.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 21.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for St. Louis City aligns with the current prediction.
  • Chicago Fire - St. Louis City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.54
    (4.29)
    4.6
    (4.49)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - St. Louis City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, St. Louis City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chicago is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - St. Louis City were as follows:
    11.05.2024 St. Louis City - Chicago Fire 3:1
    13.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 1:0
    09.05.2023 Chicago Fire - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)