Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 82% (333/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 82% (333/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/115) | 62% (61/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Lowen E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gressel J. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
- 46', Diaz J. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
- 47', Wallem C. 🟨,
- 56', Markanich A. 🟨,
- 63', Padelford D. ↓, Durkin C. ↑,
- 63', Jeong S. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 71', Rosales J. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
- 73', Durkin C. 🟥,
- 75', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. (Pen),
- 77', Lowen E. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
- 77', Ostrak T. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 78', Joao Klauss ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
- 83', Markanich A. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Yeboah K. (Pen),
- 90+9', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City
37% | Draw
26.1% | Minnesota United
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
St. Louis City - Minnesota United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.83) |
3.64 ↑
(3.51) |
2.56 ↑
(2.44) |
5.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Minnesota United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Minnesota (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
- St. Louis City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Minnesota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R.
(Hip Injury)
Durkin C.
(Knee Injury)
Kessler H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nilsson J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Knee Injury)
Jung Ho-yeon
(Knee Injury)
Pereyra J.
(Yellow Cards)
Romero N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Minnesota United?
St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against St. Louis City?
Minnesota United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Minnesota United were as follows:
21.05.2025
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
3:2
17.05.2025
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
3:0
19.10.2024
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
4:1
14.09.2024
St. Louis City
-
Minnesota United
1:3
23.09.2023
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
1:2
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of Minnesota United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
