Chivas Guadalajara vs Atlas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas
25/10/2025 at 23:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
66.7%
Draw
19.4%
Atlas
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 19.9% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.3% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.43)
    4.83
    (4.65)
    6.72
    (6)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
    • Guadalajara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Guadalajara will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    27.12.2024 Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara 0:0
    21.11.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas 1:2
    05.10.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas 2:3
    27.04.2024 Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara 0:1
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Atlas
    17.10.2025 Atlético San Luis - Atlas 2:0
    03.10.2025 Atlas - Juárez 3:1
    27.09.2025 Atlas - Necaxa 3:2
    24.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Atlas 2:0
    19.09.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca13101239:162331
    2Cruz Azul1384124:16828
    3Club America1383227:131427
    4Monterrey1383226:20627
    5Tigres UANL1375127:131426
    6Pachuca1363418:15321
    7Club Tijuana1355326:17920
    8Guadalajara Chivas1362520:18220
    9Juarez1354418:17119
    10UNAM Pumas1335516:20-414
    11Atl. San Luis1341819:20-113
    12Santos Laguna1341815:21-613
    13Atlas1334621:29-813
    14Club Leon1333712:24-1212
    15Mazatlan FC1325615:23-811
    16Queretaro1332814:25-1111
    17Necaxa1323814:26-129
    18Puebla1322914:32-188

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )