Result
4:1
25/10/2025 at 22:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/467) | 82% (345/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/467) | 82% (345/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (52/84) | 58% (36/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 3.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
- 26', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Romo L. ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 4 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 57', Gonzalez A. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 1, Garcia M. E. ⚽, Djurdjevic U. (A),
- 65', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 66', Sandoval S. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 74', Alvarez E. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
- 74', Alvarado R. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 74', Govea O. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
- 78', Rocha A. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez D. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 87', Ramirez P. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
- 87', Garcia M. E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
63.9% | Draw
21.1% | Atlas
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.43) |
4.41 ↓
(4.65) |
6.24 ↑
(6) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.75 - Atlas (1.38) (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
- Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Ledezma R.
(Red Card)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Guadalajara will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlas?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Atlas were as follows:
19.04.2025
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
27.12.2024
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
21.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
1:2
05.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
2:3
27.04.2024
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:18 | 25 | 37 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32:20 | 12 | 35 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana ✔ | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Juarez ✔ | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:28 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Pachuca ✔ | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:35 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14:31 | -17 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:42 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club Tijuana is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Juarez is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
