Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 20:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (192/255) | 84% (492/585) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (192/255) | 84% (492/585) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (45/82) | 59% (92/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Ramirez P. ⚽,
- 29', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 72', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 72', Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Zaldivar E. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Sepulveda A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Sepulveda A. 🟨,
- 86', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 86', Govea O. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 87', Hernandez S. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+3', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sepulveda A. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 90+4', Rocha A. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
- 90+5', Capasso M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Alvarado R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlas
18.3% | Draw
25.2% | Chivas Guadalajara
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.1 ↓
(5.28) |
3.71 ↑
(3.68) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Atlas (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Schlegel R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Perez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlas?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
03.01.2026
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
25.10.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
4:1
19.04.2025
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
27.12.2024
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
21.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
1:2
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
