Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (291/338) | 84% (300/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (291/338) | 84% (300/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (74/94) | 78% (83/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.76 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (20/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 13', Aguirre E. 🟨,
- 18', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 22', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Camberos H. ⚽, Gutierrez E. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Wilke T. 🟨,
- 61', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 67', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 68', Gonzalez D. ↓, Del Prete G. ↑,
- 72', Gutierrez E. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
- 72', Wilke T. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 74', Lozano J. 🟨,
- 80', Matheus Doria 🟨,
- 84', Lozano J. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 84', Aguirre E. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 89', Alvarado R. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 89', Gomez M. ↓, Brizuela I. ↑,
- 90', Marquez J. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 90+3', Camberos H. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlas
27.7% | Draw
30.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.6) |
3.14 ↓
(3.29) |
2.24 ↓
(2.67) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlas won 2.
- Atlas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Guadalajara will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Ankle Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Flores L.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlas won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlas won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlas?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
27.12.2024
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
21.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
1:2
05.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
2:3
27.04.2024
Atlas
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
24.03.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlas
0:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
