Result
0:0
17/09/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 88% (540/616) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 88% (540/616) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 76% (135/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 45', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gomez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 51', Cowell C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 59', Lainez D. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 60', Cordova S. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 63', Alvarez E. (Pen),
- 64', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 68', Sandoval S. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 68', Alvarez E. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
- 76', Brunetta J. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 76', Joaquim ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 77', Parra B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
40.1% | Draw
28.4% | Tigres UANL
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.6) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
2.91 ↑
(2.62) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Tigres will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.
- Guadalajara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tigres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Pulido A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Tigres: Sanchez J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J.
(Knee Injury)
Farfan M.
(Injury)
Tapia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tigres UANL?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tigres UANL has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL were as follows:
25.01.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
24.08.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
21.01.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
28.10.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
0:4
28.05.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tigres UANL
2:3
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
