Chivas Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/09/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaNBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.62
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
82% (333/407)88% (540/616)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.99
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
129
Passes
82% (333/407)88% (540/616)
Long passes
51% (30/59)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
58% (40/69)76% (135/177)
Crosses
6% (1/16)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.60
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
912
Tackles
63% (10/16)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4139
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
61
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.991.49
Goals prevented
0.991.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Gomez M. 🟨,
  • 45', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez M. , Castillo J. ,
  • 51', Cowell C. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 59', Lainez D. , Herrera O. ,
  • 60', Cordova S. , Ibanez N. ,
  • 63', Alvarez E. (Pen),
  • 64', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
  • 68', Sandoval S. , Chicharito ,
  • 68', Alvarez E. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 76', Brunetta J. , Antuna U. ,
  • 76', Joaquim , Angulo J. ,
  • 77', Parra B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
40.1%
Draw
28.4%
Tigres UANL
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 27.7% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 28.2% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.6)
    3.32
    (3.4)
    2.91
    (2.62)
    6.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Tigres will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0.
    • Guadalajara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tigres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Govea O. (Muscle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Pulido A. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Tigres: Sanchez J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Farfan M. (Injury) Tapia F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL 1:1
    24.08.2024 Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    21.01.2024 Tigres UANL - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    28.10.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL 0:4
    28.05.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL 2:3
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    13.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Club León 0:0
    23.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tigres UANL 2:2
    20.08.2025 Inter Miami - Tigres UANL 2:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul971117:9822
    2Toluca963014:41021
    3Guadalajara Chivas860212:8418
    4Pachuca952211:7417
    5UNAM Pumas944117:10716
    6Tigres UANL841315:9613
    7Atlas841310:12-213
    8Club America83238:7111
    9Atl. San Luis931516:15110
    10Monterrey831410:9110
    11Club Leon83149:11-210
    12Club Tijuana81617:709
    13Necaxa930611:15-49
    14Puebla82245:10-58
    15Juarez721411:13-27
    16Mazatlan FC92169:18-97
    17Queretaro71337:10-36
    18Santos Laguna902710:25-152

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)