Result
0:0
25/04/2026 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (529/594) | 74% (209/282) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (529/594) | 74% (209/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (142/182) | 53% (34/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 37', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Abreu D. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 59', Arciga R. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 65', Govea O. 🟨,
- 70', Gutierrez B. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez E. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 74', Mora G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 81', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 83', Gonzalez B. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 86', Rivero I. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 90+8', Aguirre D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
66.9% | Draw
19.2% | Tijuana
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.36) |
4.83 ↓
(5.1) |
6.68 ↓
(7.05) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Guadalajara is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tijuana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Tijuana: Inzunza R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Govea O.
(Calf Injury)
Sepulveda A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
22.08.2025
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:3
09.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.07.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:2
26.01.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
22.08.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
