Result
0:3
10/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Portillo J. 🟨,
- 24', Bermudez J. 🟨,
- 36', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 37', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, John Kleber ⚽,
- 39', Vega L. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 76', 0 - 3, Cabrera M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Choloma
14.2% | Draw
20% | Motagua
65.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Choloma - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.43 ↑
(4.09) |
4.56 ↑
(3.5) |
1.39 ↓
(1.75) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- Choloma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motagua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Motagua?
Choloma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Choloma?
Motagua has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Motagua were as follows:
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
