Christian Garin vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
67.6%
Martin Damm
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christian Garin's performance.
  • Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christian Garin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martin Damm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Christian Garin - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.51)

    2.91
    (2.46)
    6%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Martin Damm?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Damm will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 85. Damm is ranked ATP: 126.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Garin is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    06.04.2026 Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm 2:1
    19.03.2026 Martin Damm - Jacob Fearnley Fearnley J. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.2 : 1
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)2 : 0
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.1 : 2
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)0 : 2
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.2 : 0
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)2 : 1
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.1 : 2
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)2 : 0
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)0 : 2
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)2 : 1

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4Prizmic D. (4)Piros Z.
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6Faria J.Harris L.
    7Kypson P. (7)Basilashvili N. (20)
    8Vallejo D. (8)Rocha H.
    9Echargui M.Budkov Kjaer N.
    10Dedura D.Bonzi B. (15)
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12Rodesch C.Lajovic D.