Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.99
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
81% (314/390)80% (326/406)
Long passes
36% (14/39)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
66% (49/74)71% (92/129)
Crosses
13% (1/8)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.83
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
1019
Tackles
47% (7/15)59% (16/27)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
1315
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.991.86
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Chirila S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Opeyemi M. , Ramos Y. ,
  • 55', Pfrommer J. , Hyte D. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mangione P. , Chirila S. (A),
  • 75', Turdean R. , Poreba D. ,
  • 75', Berg H. , Oyegunle O. ,
  • 75', Borso D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 77', Locker C. 🟨,
  • 77', Locker C. , Kristel B. ,
  • 78', Mangione P. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Poreba D. (Pen),
  • 90', del Valle Y. , Sphire C. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Montiel J. , Hyte D. (A),
  • 90+2', Montiel J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
44.9%
Draw
23.4%
Cincinnati 2
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 24.2% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 23.2% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.92)
    3.92
    (3.79)
    2.9
    (3.29)
    8.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chicago Fire II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 3.
    • Chicago Fire II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chicago Fire II could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    30.03.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    08.09.2024 Chicago Fire II - Cincinnati 2 1:2
    28.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 5:0
    17.03.2024 Cincinnati 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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