Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

NKU Soccer Stadium (Highland Heights, KE).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.31
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
69% (173/251)	82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.13	3.02
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
1	1
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
23	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
69% (173/251)	82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)	26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)	73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.87
Throw-ins
14	24
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
55% (11/20)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
49	38
Clearances
23	17
Interceptions
10	18
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
3.02	2.13
Goals prevented
1.02	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Musu S. 🟨,
26', Baiera A. (Pen),
36', Jimenez S. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. ⚽, Lacher J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mboma K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Musu S. ⚽, Murray M. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. ⚽, Ikoba T. (A),
66', Schaefer B. ↓, Hurtado D. ↑,
66', Lim E. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
66', Baiera A. ↓, Tiao C. ↑,
66', Musu S. ↓, Zeitz U. ↑,
70', Daley A. 🟨,
76', Davila A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
76', Kuisel W. ↓, Caicedo Y. ↑,
81', Cavallo N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
81', Mangione P. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
89', Elias P. ↓, Guarino E. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
2, Chirila S. (Pen),
2, Tiao C. (Pen),
3, Locker C. (Pen),
3, Guarino E. (Pen),
4, Chavez A. (Pen),
4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
5, Louro E. (Pen),
5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning

Cincinnati 2
47.9%

Draw
24.6%

New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

23.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.

New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	3.35 ↑ (2.75)	8.8% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against New York City II?

Cincinnati 2 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Cincinnati 2?

New York City II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:

09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3

29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1

07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2

27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0

28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1

Latest results of Cincinnati 2

29.06.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 3:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 New England Revolution II - Cincinnati 2 0:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1 ✺

03.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II 1:4 ✺

Latest results of New York City II

12.06.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - New York City II 2:1 ✺

06.06.2025 Atlanta United II - New York City II 2:3 ✺

31.05.2025 New York City II - New England Revolution II 0:1 ✺

23.05.2025 New York City II - Chicago Fire II 3:2 ✺

15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
5	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
6	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
11	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
12	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
6	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
9	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
10	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

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