Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.86 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
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34% | 66% |
Total shots |
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9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Passes |
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69% (173/251) | 82% (420/512) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.86 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.13 | 3.02 |
Total shots |
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9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 13 |
Passes |
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69% (173/251) | 82% (420/512) |
Long passes |
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27% (13/48) | 26% (12/47) |
Passes in final third |
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58% (64/111) | 73% (94/129) |
Crosses |
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64% (7/11) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.69 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 24 |
Fouls |
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13 | 10 |
Tackles |
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55% (11/20) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
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49 | 38 |
Clearances |
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23 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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3.02 | 2.13 |
Goals prevented |
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1.02 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Musu S. 🟨,
- 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
- 36', Jimenez S. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. ⚽, Lacher J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mboma K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. ⚽, Murray M. (A),
- 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. ⚽, Ikoba T. (A),
- 66', Schaefer B. ↓, Hurtado D. ↑,
- 66', Lim E. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
- 66', Baiera A. ↓, Tiao C. ↑,
- 66', Musu S. ↓, Zeitz U. ↑,
- 70', Daley A. 🟨,
- 76', Davila A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 76', Kuisel W. ↓, Caicedo Y. ↑,
- 81', Cavallo N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 81', Mangione P. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
- 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
- 89', Elias P. ↓, Guarino E. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
- 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
- 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
- 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
- 3, Locker C. (Pen),
- 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
- 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
- 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
- 5, Louro E. (Pen),
- 5, Lopez J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 2 47.9% | Draw 24.6% | New York City II 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.12) |
3.73 ↓ (3.75) |
3.35 ↑ (2.75) |
8.8% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati 2 will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
- Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against New York City II?
Cincinnati 2 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Cincinnati 2?
New York City II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
09.04.2025
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
2:3
29.09.2024
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
3:1
07.07.2024
Cincinnati 2
-
New York City II
1:2
27.08.2023
Cincinnati 2
-
New York City II
2:0
28.05.2023
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
2:1
Latest results of Cincinnati 2
Latest results of New York City II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
6 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
7 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
2 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
3 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
4 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
5 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
6 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
2 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
4 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
3 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
4 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
5 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
6 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 44:17 | 39 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 43:32 | 33 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 30:29 | 33 |
6 | Huntsville | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 35:19 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City B | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 26:37 | 26 |
8 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 30:35 | 26 |
9 | Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19:23 | 26 |
10 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | 25 |
11 | New York City II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33:39 | 25 |
12 | Carolina Core | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:27 | 24 |
13 | Atlanta United 2 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | 19 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 30:44 | 18 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19:35 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41:25 | 43 |
2 | Ventura County | 19 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 40:32 | 35 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
4 | Town FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38:21 | 30 |
5 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
6 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 41:36 | 28 |
7 | Austin FC II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 28 |
8 | Real Monarchs | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:31 | 26 |
9 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 27:29 | 25 |
10 | Minnesota 2 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 28:29 | 24 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 29:34 | 24 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 28:37 | 23 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:43 | 11 |
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