Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Cincinnati 2 - New York City II
Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.133.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.87
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1310
Tackles
55% (11/20)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.022.13
Goals prevented
1.020.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 36', Jimenez S. , Locker C. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mboma K. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. , Murray M. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. , Ikoba T. (A),
  • 66', Schaefer B. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 66', Lim E. , Arroyave J. ,
  • 66', Baiera A. , Tiao C. ,
  • 66', Musu S. , Zeitz U. ,
  • 70', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 76', Davila A. , Chavez A. ,
  • 76', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 81', Cavallo N. , Lopez J. ,
  • 81', Mangione P. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
  • 89', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
  • 3, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
  • 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
  • 5, Louro E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
47.9%
Draw
24.6%
New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 23.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    3.35
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
    • Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
    09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2
    27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0
    28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    6Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    7New York City II19623833:3925
    8Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core19444725:2724
    6Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    7Inter Miami II195031130:4418


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County191013540:3235
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    6Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    7Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 218703828:2924
    7Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2201222449:4242
    2Philadelphia Union II18952244:1739
    3Chicago Fire II18922543:3233
    4New England Revolution II17841431:2133
    5Chattanooga19833530:2933
    6Huntsville17832435:1932
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9Cincinnati 218470719:2326
    10Toronto FC II19704822:3025
    11New York City II19623833:3925
    12Carolina Core19444725:2724
    13Atlanta United 217326623:2919
    14Inter Miami II195031130:4418
    15Columbus Crew 2183121219:3513


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2191320441:2543
    2Ventura County191013540:3235
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 219731841:3628
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 218703828:2924
    11Portland Timbers 218622829:3424
    12Tacoma Defiance18621945:4823
    13Los Angeles FC II18621928:3723
    14Sporting Kansas City II182131217:4311

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