Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (173/251) | 82% (420/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.86 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.13 | 3.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
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| 69% (173/251) | 82% (420/512) |
| Long passes |
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| 27% (13/48) | 26% (12/47) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 58% (64/111) | 73% (94/129) |
| Crosses |
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| 64% (7/11) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 55% (11/20) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 49 | 38 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.02 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.02 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Musu S. 🟨,
- 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
- 36', Jimenez S. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. ⚽, Lacher J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mboma K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. ⚽, Murray M. (A),
- 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. ⚽, Ikoba T. (A),
- 66', Schaefer B. ↓, Hurtado D. ↑,
- 66', Lim E. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
- 66', Baiera A. ↓, Tiao C. ↑,
- 66', Musu S. ↓, Zeitz U. ↑,
- 70', Daley A. 🟨,
- 76', Davila A. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 76', Kuisel W. ↓, Caicedo Y. ↑,
- 81', Cavallo N. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 81', Mangione P. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
- 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
- 89', Elias P. ↓, Guarino E. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
- 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
- 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
- 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
- 3, Locker C. (Pen),
- 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
- 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
- 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
- 5, Louro E. (Pen),
- 5, Lopez J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cincinnati 2
47.9% | Draw
24.6% | New York City II
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.12) |
3.73 ↓
(3.75) |
3.35 ↑
(2.75) |
8.8%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati 2 will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
- Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati 2 won against New York City II?
Cincinnati 2 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Cincinnati 2?
New York City II has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
09.04.2025
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
2:3
29.09.2024
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
3:1
07.07.2024
Cincinnati 2
-
New York City II
1:2
27.08.2023
Cincinnati 2
-
New York City II
2:0
28.05.2023
New York City II
-
Cincinnati 2
2:1
Latest results of Cincinnati 2
Latest results of New York City II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 64:52 | 54 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 53:28 | 49 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 45:30 | 48 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 25 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 62:45 | 46 |
| 5 | Toronto FC II | 25 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 32:38 | 36 |
| 6 | New York City II | 25 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 49:53 | 35 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 34:57 | 20 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 2 | Huntsville | 25 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 48:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 25 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39:38 | 36 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | 35 |
| 5 | Atlanta United 2 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | 31 |
| 6 | Crown Legacy | 26 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | 29 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 36:62 | 23 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Town FC | 24 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 52:32 | 46 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs | 25 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 44:38 | 42 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 57:46 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 46:44 | 38 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 43:53 | 32 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers 2 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 42:49 | 32 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 53:61 | 27 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 56:33 | 57 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 48:37 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 39:38 | 38 |
| 4 | Austin FC II | 25 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:31 | 38 |
| 5 | North Texas | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 38:49 | 37 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 35:39 | 34 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 26:60 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ | 25 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 64:52 | 54 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II ✔ | 25 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 53:28 | 49 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II ✔ | 24 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 45:30 | 48 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II ✔ | 25 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 62:45 | 46 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | Huntsville | 25 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 48:31 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 25 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 32:38 | 36 |
| 8 | Carolina Core | 25 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 39:38 | 36 |
| 9 | New York City II | 25 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 49:53 | 35 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | 35 |
| 11 | Atlanta United 2 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | 31 |
| 12 | Crown Legacy | 26 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | 29 |
| 13 | Cincinnati 2 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 36:62 | 23 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 34:57 | 20 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 ✔ | 25 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 56:33 | 57 |
| 2 | Town FC ✔ | 24 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 52:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ | 25 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 48:37 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 25 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 44:38 | 42 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 57:46 | 40 |
| 6 | Ventura County | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 46:44 | 38 |
| 7 | Minnesota 2 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 39:38 | 38 |
| 8 | Austin FC II | 25 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:31 | 38 |
| 9 | North Texas | 25 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 38:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 35:39 | 34 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 43:53 | 32 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers 2 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 42:49 | 32 |
| 13 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 53:61 | 27 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 26:60 | 16 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
