Cincinnati 2 vs New York City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
06/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.133.02
Total shots
910
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
69% (173/251)82% (420/512)
Long passes
27% (13/48)26% (12/47)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)73% (94/129)
Crosses
64% (7/11)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.87
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1310
Tackles
55% (11/20)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
1018
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.022.13
Goals prevented
1.020.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Musu S. 🟨,
  • 26', Baiera A. (Pen),
  • 36', Jimenez S. , Locker C. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Chirila S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Elias P. , Lacher J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mboma K. , Ikoba T. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Musu S. , Murray M. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Mangione P. , Ikoba T. (A),
  • 66', Schaefer B. , Hurtado D. ,
  • 66', Lim E. , Arroyave J. ,
  • 66', Baiera A. , Tiao C. ,
  • 66', Musu S. , Zeitz U. ,
  • 70', Daley A. 🟨,
  • 76', Davila A. , Chavez A. ,
  • 76', Kuisel W. , Caicedo Y. ,
  • 81', Cavallo N. , Lopez J. ,
  • 81', Mangione P. , Manfroy B. ,
  • 84', Arroyave J. 🟨,
  • 89', Elias P. , Guarino E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 1, Garfield Reid S. (Pen),
  • 2, Chirila S. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiao C. (Pen),
  • 3, Locker C. (Pen),
  • 3, Guarino E. (Pen),
  • 4, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Zeitz U. (Pen),
  • 5, Louro E. (Pen),
  • 5, Lopez J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cincinnati 2
47.9%
Draw
24.6%
New York City II
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 24.2% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 23.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
  • New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York City II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Cincinnati 2 - New York City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    3.35
    (2.75)
    8.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati 2 - New York City II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati 2 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati 2 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2.
    • Cincinnati 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York City II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York City II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cincinnati 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati 2 - New York City II were as follows:
    09.04.2025 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    07.07.2024 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 1:2
    27.08.2023 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 2:0
    28.05.2023 New York City II - Cincinnati 2 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)