Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/525) | 81% (365/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (451/525) | 81% (365/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (93/123) | 71% (132/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Anunga T. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
- 63', Miazga M. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
- 66', Radoja N. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
- 73', Salloi D. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Orellano L. (A),
- 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 85', Orellano L. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 86', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 86', Shelton K. ↓, Brody A. ↑,
- 86', Suleymanov S. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. ⚽, Thommy E. (A),
- 90+1', Denkey K. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
60.3% | Draw
21.8% | Sporting Kansas City
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.77) |
4.35 ↑
(3.59) |
5.3 ↑
(4.9) |
5%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rosero D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Sporting Kansas City?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Kansas City won against Cincinnati?
Sporting Kansas City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
23.07.2023
Cincinnati
-
Sporting Kansas City
4:3
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
