Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Long passes
51% (20/39)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)71% (132/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.12
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
86
Tackles
50% (6/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.171.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 63', Miazga M. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Radoja N. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 73', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. , Orellano L. (A),
  • 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 86', Shelton K. , Brody A. ,
  • 86', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. , Thommy E. (A),
  • 90+1', Denkey K. , Baird C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
60.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Kansas City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    4.35
    (3.59)
    5.3
    (4.9)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J. (Hamstring Injury) Rosero D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 4:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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