Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Long passes
51% (20/39)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)71% (132/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.12
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
86
Tackles
50% (6/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.171.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 63', Miazga M. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Radoja N. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 73', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. , Orellano L. (A),
  • 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 86', Shelton K. , Brody A. ,
  • 86', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. , Thommy E. (A),
  • 90+1', Denkey K. , Baird C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
60.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Kansas City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    4.35
    (3.59)
    5.3
    (4.9)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J. (Hamstring Injury) Rosero D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 4:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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