Ciudad de Bolívar vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
19/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Navarro E. 🟨,
  • 20', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 20', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 33', Capurro J. 🟨,
  • 36', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Ponce F. 🟨,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 51', Caraballo K. 🟨,
  • 58', Leineker C. , Protti I. ,
  • 69', Pastorelli A. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 76', Diaz A. , Perez R. ,
  • 76', Caraballo K. , Maciel J. ,
  • 83', Quintana B. 🟨,
  • 90', Duarte B. , Schonfeld G. ,
  • 90+3', Capurro J. , Marquez E. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez M. , Fuyana J. ,
  • 90+5', Laborda G. , Alvarez E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 2, Perez R. (Pen),
  • 2, Marquez E. (Pen),
  • 3, Yeri N. (Pen),
  • 3, Ponce F. (Pen),
  • 4, Quintana B. (Pen),
  • 4, Fuyana J. (Pen),
  • 5, Lapetina L. (Pen),
  • 5, Ontivero L. (Pen),
  • 6, Martinez E. (Pen),
  • 6, Protti I. (Pen),
  • 7, Schonfeld G. (Pen),
  • 7, Albertengo L. (Pen),
  • 8, Maciel J. (Pen),
  • 8, Affranchino F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
47.2%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético de Rafaela
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.4% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 28.7% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.82)
    2.93
    (3.1)
    4.27
    (4.42)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Unico de San Nicolas.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ciudad de Bolívar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )