Ciudad de Bolívar vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
19/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Navarro E. 🟨,
  • 20', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 20', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 33', Capurro J. 🟨,
  • 36', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Ponce F. 🟨,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 51', Caraballo K. 🟨,
  • 58', Leineker C. , Protti I. ,
  • 69', Pastorelli A. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 76', Diaz A. , Perez R. ,
  • 76', Caraballo K. , Maciel J. ,
  • 83', Quintana B. 🟨,
  • 90', Duarte B. , Schonfeld G. ,
  • 90+3', Capurro J. , Marquez E. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez M. , Fuyana J. ,
  • 90+5', Laborda G. , Alvarez E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 2, Perez R. (Pen),
  • 2, Marquez E. (Pen),
  • 3, Yeri N. (Pen),
  • 3, Ponce F. (Pen),
  • 4, Quintana B. (Pen),
  • 4, Fuyana J. (Pen),
  • 5, Lapetina L. (Pen),
  • 5, Ontivero L. (Pen),
  • 6, Martinez E. (Pen),
  • 6, Protti I. (Pen),
  • 7, Schonfeld G. (Pen),
  • 7, Albertengo L. (Pen),
  • 8, Maciel J. (Pen),
  • 8, Affranchino F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
47.2%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético de Rafaela
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.4% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 28.7% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.82)
    2.93
    (3.1)
    4.27
    (4.42)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Unico de San Nicolas.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ciudad de Bolívar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

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