Ciudad de Bolívar vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
19/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Navarro E. 🟨,
  • 20', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 20', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 33', Capurro J. 🟨,
  • 36', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Ponce F. 🟨,
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 51', Caraballo K. 🟨,
  • 58', Leineker C. , Protti I. ,
  • 69', Pastorelli A. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 76', Diaz A. , Perez R. ,
  • 76', Caraballo K. , Maciel J. ,
  • 83', Quintana B. 🟨,
  • 90', Duarte B. , Schonfeld G. ,
  • 90+3', Capurro J. , Marquez E. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez M. , Fuyana J. ,
  • 90+5', Laborda G. , Alvarez E. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
  • 2, Perez R. (Pen),
  • 2, Marquez E. (Pen),
  • 3, Yeri N. (Pen),
  • 3, Ponce F. (Pen),
  • 4, Quintana B. (Pen),
  • 4, Fuyana J. (Pen),
  • 5, Lapetina L. (Pen),
  • 5, Ontivero L. (Pen),
  • 6, Martinez E. (Pen),
  • 6, Protti I. (Pen),
  • 7, Schonfeld G. (Pen),
  • 7, Albertengo L. (Pen),
  • 8, Maciel J. (Pen),
  • 8, Affranchino F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ciudad de Bolívar
47.2%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético de Rafaela
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 29.4% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 28.7% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.82)
    2.93
    (3.1)
    4.27
    (4.42)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Estadio Unico de San Nicolas.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ciudad de Bolívar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )