Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/494) | 63% (145/232) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/494) | 63% (145/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 26% (16/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (90/117) | 45% (35/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ⚽, Puma (A),
- 19', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
- 26', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 39', Davila V. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
- 45+2', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Juarez R. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
- 46', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
- 46', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 53', Pizarro R. 🟨,
- 55', Espinosa Dovat T. N. 🟨,
- 67', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
- 67', Sanchez E. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
- 68', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Zendejas A. ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
- 72', Salas P. 🟨,
- 76', Mejia A. 🟨,
- 76', Puma 🟨,
- 82', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 83', Zuniga J. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 83', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
- 86', Puma ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Guilherme Castilho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Club América
54.3% | Draw
25.8% | Juárez
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club América's form might have worsened.Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Club América - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.42) |
3.62 ↓
(4.03) |
4.77 ↓
(7.13) |
6.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Club América - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - América (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 3.
- Recent performances by América have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juárez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Lima
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Juárez: Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Zendejas A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Juárez: Madson
(Injury)
Ochoa D.
(Injury)
Ricardinho
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, América won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Juárez?
Club América has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Club América?
Juárez has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club América - Juárez were as follows:
11.07.2025
Juárez
-
Club América
1:1
01.02.2025
Club América
-
Juárez
4:0
20.07.2024
Juárez
-
Club América
1:2
24.01.2024
Juárez
-
Club América
0:2
30.06.2023
Club América
-
Juárez
1:2
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
