Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (181/294) | 70% (237/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (181/294) | 70% (237/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (21/84) | 36% (23/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (60/122) | 52% (50/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Iandolo E. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
- 28', Senior J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Senior J. ↓, Balmer K. ↑,
- 59', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 61', Hunt R. 🟨,
- 66', Harbottle R. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,
- 73', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 73', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 78', Thomas L. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Edwards O. ⚽, Terry F. (A),
- 89', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tovide S. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
- 90+1', Payne J. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 90+3', Lockyer T. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mbick M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
35% | Draw
28.3% | Colchester United
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Bristol Rovers - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.8) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
2.52 ↑
(2.43) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%). Colchester (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 9).
- Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Colchester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Morton C.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Inactive)
Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Bishop T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Colchester United?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Bristol Rovers?
Colchester United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Colchester United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Colchester United
-
Bristol Rovers
1:1
23.11.2022
Colchester United
-
Bristol Rovers
1:2
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 61:36 | 25 | 76 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55:28 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 60:37 | 23 | 67 |
| 5 | Salford | 38 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 67 |
| 6 | Swindon | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 62:45 | 17 | 66 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 51:40 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 60:52 | 8 | 59 |
| 9 | Crewe | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 57 |
| 10 | Walsall | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 46:40 | 6 | 57 |
| 11 | Oldham | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 55 |
| 12 | Barnet | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 46:42 | 4 | 54 |
| 13 | Colchester | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 51 |
| 15 | Accrington | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:60 | -19 | 42 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:59 | -22 | 41 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 38:59 | -21 | 40 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 48:68 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | -23 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 38:65 | -27 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:57 | -28 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 36:58 | -22 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
