Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (348/456) | 76% (311/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (348/456) | 76% (311/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/78) | 23% (17/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (115/184) | 58% (37/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 39% (12/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 21', 2 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽, Payne J. (A),
- 29', Vincent-Young K. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
- 37', Iandolo E. 🟨,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽, Read A. (A),
- 45+6', Muldoon J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', O'Connor A. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
- 47', Fox B. 🟨,
- 59', Fox B. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
- 72', Slater J. 🟨,
- 78', Bishop T. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 78', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 79', McAleny C. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 88', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 90+3', Anderson H. ↓, Kuffour S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
63.3% | Draw
23.7% | Harrogate Town
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harrogate Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrogate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colchester United - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.72) |
4.39 ↑
(3.69) |
8.5 ↑
(4.64) |
-0.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Harrogate Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Colchester (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Colchester United will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
- Colchester is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Harrogate has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Colchester is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Flanagan T.
(Calf Injury)
Gape D.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Barnes L.
(Inactive)
Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Hill T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Harrogate Town?
Colchester United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Colchester United?
Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Harrogate Town were as follows:
21.01.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Colchester United
0:0
24.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
10.02.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Colchester United
1:0
21.10.2023
Colchester United
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
07.01.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Colchester United
1:3
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
