Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester).

League Two - Round 24
Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.01
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
73% (316/433)	60% (176/293)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	1.31
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
21	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
73% (316/433)	60% (176/293)
Long passes
34% (28/83)	30% (26/87)
Passes in final third
66% (100/152)	46% (50/108)
Crosses
4% (1/26)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.97
Throw-ins
28	31
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
70% (7/10)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
58	64
Clearances
47	54
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.31	0.93
Goals prevented
1.31	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bishop T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Offord L. 🟨,
61', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
61', Crowley D. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
61', Collins A. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
64', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
64', Goodwin W. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
83', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90', Leko J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Edwards O. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
90+5', Payne J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Colchester United
36%

Draw
28.9%

Milton Keynes Dons
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.52)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)	7.6% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Colchester United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Colchester United?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

01.11.2025 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:3

01.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 0:1

17.09.2024 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

17.08.2024 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0

26.12.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 1:0

Latest results of Colchester United

29.12.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Colchester United - Newport County 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Salford City - Colchester United 4:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Colchester United - West Ham United U21 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United 1:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League