Result
1:0
18/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (328/432) | 76% (309/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (328/432) | 76% (309/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 30% (20/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/158) | 69% (103/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 19', Tovide S. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Macey M. (Own goal),
- 44', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 60', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 64', Hunt R. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
- 64', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
- 70', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 71', Wiles B. ↓, Nelson C. ↑,
- 72', Flanagan T. 🟨,
- 72', Barbrook F. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
- 73', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
- 74', Anderson H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 79', Payne J. 🟨,
- 88', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 88', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
55.8% | Draw
25.5% | Colchester United
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.97) |
3.65 ↑
(3.4) |
4.99 ↑
(3.45) |
6.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 56% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Colchester (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - MK Dons (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Colchester (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Colchester (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
- MK Dons is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Colchester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Colchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, MK Dons has had a series of away games.
- In this match, MK Dons is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Paterson C.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H.
(Inactive)
Mbick M.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Iandolo E.
(Injury)
- We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Colchester United?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Colchester United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United were as follows:
01.01.2026
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
01.11.2025
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:3
01.03.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Colchester United
0:1
17.09.2024
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
17.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:0
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
