Result
1:0
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (316/433) | 60% (176/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (316/433) | 60% (176/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (28/83) | 30% (26/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (100/152) | 46% (50/108) |
| Crosses |
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| 4% (1/26) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.31 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Bishop T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Offord L. 🟨,
- 61', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 61', Crowley D. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 61', Collins A. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 64', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 64', Goodwin W. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
- 83', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90', Leko J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Edwards O. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
- 90+5', Payne J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United 36% | Draw 28.9% | Milton Keynes Dons 35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.52) |
3.22 ↑ (3.18) |
2.65 ↑ (2.6) |
7.6% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Colchester United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Colchester United?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
01.11.2025
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:3
01.03.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Colchester United
0:1
17.09.2024
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
17.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:0
26.12.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Colchester United
1:0
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 44:27 | 17 | 52 |
| 2 | Swindon | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Walsall | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Salford | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48:28 | 20 | 44 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38:27 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
| 9 | Colchester | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Crewe | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42:34 | 8 | 39 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 37 |
| 12 | Oldham | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
| 13 | Barnet | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:27 | 5 | 35 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 35 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Accrington | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 26:43 | -17 | 30 |
| 19 | Barrow | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 22 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:45 | -24 | 21 |
| 22 | Crawley | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 19 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 18 |
| 24 | Newport | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League