Result
1:4
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 20
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/493) | 68% (129/191) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/493) | 68% (129/191) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (148/203) | 54% (22/41) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 1', 0 - 1, Cuevas C. ⚽, Zampedri F. (A),
- 11', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 2, Asta-Buruaga T. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 32', Vegas S. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 3, Zampedri F. ⚽,
- 39', Corral D. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 3, Wiemberg E. ⚽, Correa J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Saldivia A. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 4, Cuevas C. ⚽,
- 57', Vidal A. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
- 57', Mendez V. ↓, Pavez E. ↑,
- 62', Corral D. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
- 69', Correa J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 74', Valencia J. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 74', Montes C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 83', Zampedri F. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 83', Cuevas C. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
- 85', Aquino C. 🟨,
- 85', Mena E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colo-Colo
50.4% | Draw
28% | Universidad Católica
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.71) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
4.34 ↓
(4.5) |
7.4%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Colo-Colo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 4.
- Recent form of Colo-Colo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Uni Católica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Colo-Colo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Universidad Católica?
Colo-Colo has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Colo-Colo?
Universidad Católica has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica were as follows:
06.07.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Colo-Colo
2:0
03.10.2024
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad Católica
1:0
20.04.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Colo-Colo
0:1
01.10.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad Católica
2:1
20.08.2023
Colo-Colo
-
Universidad Católica
1:0
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
