Columbus Crew 2 vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.991.10
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Long passes
44% (12/27)63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)79% (95/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.76
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1514
Tackles
67% (14/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
311
xGOT faced
1.103.99
Goals prevented
-0.900.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. , Fleming R. (A),
  • 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. , Diouf J. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. , Adams C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camacho R. , Di Noto G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. , Rincon N. (A),
  • 55', Diouf J. , Berg H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Forfor P. , Auvray K. ,
  • 72', Sy I. , Granda J. J. ,
  • 81', Ferdinand K. , Kone I. ,
  • 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ,
  • 87', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', Nigg D. , Kanyane G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
  • 1, Borso D. (Pen),
  • 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
  • 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
  • 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
  • 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew 2
41.3%
Draw
21.9%
Chicago Fire II
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 22.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    4.2
    (4.02)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Chicago Fire II (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
    • Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 6:1
    01.06.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 5:0
    27.10.2024 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 0:1
    21.06.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)