Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (470/529) | 88% (381/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (470/529) | 88% (381/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 63% (31/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (110/140) | 79% (95/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 3.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. ⚽, Fleming R. (A),
- 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. ⚽, Diouf J. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. ⚽, Adams C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Camacho R. ↓, Di Noto G. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. ⚽, Rincon N. (A),
- 55', Diouf J. ↓, Berg H. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
- 72', Forfor P. ↓, Auvray K. ↑,
- 72', Sy I. ↓, Granda J. J. ↑,
- 81', Ferdinand K. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
- 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ⚽,
- 87', Poreba D. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 87', Nigg D. ↓, Kanyane G. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
- 1, Borso D. (Pen),
- 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
- 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
- 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
- 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
- 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
- 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
- 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Columbus Crew 2
41.3% | Draw
21.9% | Chicago Fire II
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.15) |
4.2 ↑
(4.02) |
2.49 ↓
(2.65) |
9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
- Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew 2 won against Chicago Fire II?
Columbus Crew 2 has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire II won against Columbus Crew 2?
Chicago Fire II has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
03.08.2025
Chicago Fire II
-
Columbus Crew 2
6:1
01.06.2025
Chicago Fire II
-
Columbus Crew 2
5:0
27.10.2024
Chicago Fire II
-
Columbus Crew 2
2:3
29.09.2024
Columbus Crew 2
-
Chicago Fire II
0:1
21.06.2024
Columbus Crew 2
-
Chicago Fire II
1:2
Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
Latest results of Chicago Fire II
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 5 : 3 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Philadelphia Union II (2) | |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
Final
