Columbus Crew 2 vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.991.10
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Long passes
44% (12/27)63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)79% (95/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.76
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1514
Tackles
67% (14/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
311
xGOT faced
1.103.99
Goals prevented
-0.900.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. , Fleming R. (A),
  • 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. , Diouf J. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. , Adams C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camacho R. , Di Noto G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. , Rincon N. (A),
  • 55', Diouf J. , Berg H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Forfor P. , Auvray K. ,
  • 72', Sy I. , Granda J. J. ,
  • 81', Ferdinand K. , Kone I. ,
  • 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ,
  • 87', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', Nigg D. , Kanyane G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
  • 1, Borso D. (Pen),
  • 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
  • 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
  • 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
  • 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew 2
41.3%
Draw
21.9%
Chicago Fire II
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 22.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    4.2
    (4.02)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Chicago Fire II (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
    • Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 6:1
    01.06.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 5:0
    27.10.2024 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 0:1
    21.06.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)