Columbus Crew 2 vs Chicago Fire II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II
Result
3:4 penalties
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.260.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.991.10
Total shots
2514
Shots on target
135
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
219
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
89% (470/529)88% (381/434)
Long passes
44% (12/27)63% (31/49)
Passes in final third
79% (110/140)79% (95/120)
Crosses
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.76
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1514
Tackles
67% (14/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
311
xGOT faced
1.103.99
Goals prevented
-0.900.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Shokalook J. , Fleming R. (A),
  • 15', Elliot Q. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Shokalook J. , Diouf J. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Rincon N. , Adams C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Camacho R. , Di Noto G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Adams C. , Rincon N. (A),
  • 55', Diouf J. , Berg H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 3, Di Noto G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Forfor P. , Auvray K. ,
  • 72', Sy I. , Granda J. J. ,
  • 81', Ferdinand K. , Kone I. ,
  • 82', Reynolds J. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Gbamble K. ,
  • 87', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', Nigg D. , Kanyane G. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Rincon N. (Pen),
  • 1, Borso D. (Pen),
  • 2, Gbamble K. (Pen),
  • 2, Reynolds J. (Pen),
  • 3, Granda J. J. (Pen),
  • 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 4, Rogers C. (Pen),
  • 4, Fleming R. (Pen),
  • 5, Di Noto G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Columbus Crew 2
41.3%
Draw
21.9%
Chicago Fire II
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 22.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 22.1% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    4.2
    (4.02)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 1.
    • Columbus Crew 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 6:1
    01.06.2025 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 5:0
    27.10.2024 Chicago Fire II - Columbus Crew 2 2:3
    29.09.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 0:1
    21.06.2024 Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II 1:2
    Latest results of Columbus Crew 2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    2New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    6Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2
    7St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    8Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)5 : 3
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)2 : 4
    4St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1New York Red Bulls II (1)Philadelphia Union II (2)
    2Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Minnesota 2 (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2