Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 27
  • Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
17
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
108
Corner kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Young B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Williams A. , Hill M. ,
  • 66', Roberts O. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Young B. ,
  • 69', Robles L. 🟨,
  • 73', Thomas D. , Lewis I. ,
  • 73', Roberts O. , Clarke Z. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 79', Edwards A. , Cumming J. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Gosset D. ,
  • 82', Peate N. 🟨,
  • 84', Bradley S. , Lock J. ,
  • 84', Gosset D. , Williams C. ,
  • 84', Young B. , Davies A. ,
  • 89', Roberts E. , Sirrell L. ,
  • 90', Robles L. , Williams A. ,
  • 90+1', Astles R. , Hart S. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
41%
Draw
26%
Colwyn Bay
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 25.8% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 25.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caernarfon Town's form might have worsened.
  • Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.88)
    3.58
    (3.55)
    2.82
    (3.6)
    7.5%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay 4:1
    27.12.2025 Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay 1:2
    04.10.2025 Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town 1:0
    01.08.2025 Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay 3:0
    31.12.2023 Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay 2:1
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Colwyn Bay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS27222372:215168
    2Connahs Q27148552:312150
    3Penybont27117937:41-440
    4Caernarfon27109849:371239
    5Barry27109837:271039
    6Colwyn Bay271071035:33237

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