Result
0:2
03/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 31
- Referee: James M. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Roberts E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Astles R. (Own goal),
- 64', Edwards A. ↓, Cumming J. ↑,
- 65', Hill M. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Clarke Z. ⚽,
- 70', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
- 70', Clarke Z. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 72', Bradley S. ↓, Young B. ↑,
- 77', Hughes G. 🟨,
- 83', Lock J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 86', Roberts E. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
- 86', Forde S. ↓, Peate N. ↑,
- 90+3', Hart S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colwyn Bay
44.2% | Draw
25.3% | Caernarfon Town
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.41) |
3.66 ↑
(3.59) |
3.04 ↑
(2.47) |
8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2.
- Colwyn Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Colwyn Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.7:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
27.02.2026
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
3:0
31.01.2026
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
4:1
27.12.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
1:2
04.10.2025
Colwyn Bay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:0
01.08.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
3:0
Latest results of Colwyn Bay
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 80:25 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 60:37 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Barry ✔ | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40:36 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Caernarfon ✔ | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 54:47 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Penybont ✔ | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:47 | -8 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
