Result
1:2
27/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 20
- Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Peate N. ⚽,
- 44', Mooney P. 🟨,
- 45', Lewis I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Thomas D. ↓, Gosset D. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Cumming J. ⚽,
- 67', Robles L. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Bradley S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 72', Williams A. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
- 83', Mooney P. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 85', Lewis I. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
47% | Draw
26% | Colwyn Bay
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.09) |
3.55 ↓
(3.86) |
3.41 ↑
(3) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caernarfon: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ))
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Colwyn Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Caernarfon is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay were as follows:
04.10.2025
Colwyn Bay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:0
01.08.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
3:0
31.12.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
2:1
13.08.2023
Colwyn Bay
-
Caernarfon Town
0:4
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 55:15 | 40 | 47 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40:21 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Penybont ✔ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 30 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Barry | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Bala | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry ✔ | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 27:37 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Flint ✔ | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Llanelli ✔ | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11:53 | -42 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
Briton Ferry is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Flint is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
Llanelli is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
