Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 11
- Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Downey S. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Robles L. ⚽,
- 36', Gosset D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lock J. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
- 56', Jones M. 🟨,
- 71', Sirrell L. 🟨,
- 72', Abadaki O. 🟨,
- 75', Kargbo I. ↓, Kargbo U. ↑,
- 80', Downey S. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
- 81', Abadaki O. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 86', Edwards A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colwyn Bay
40.7% | Draw
29.8% | Caernarfon Town
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.69) |
3.69 ↑
(3.68) |
3.72 ↑
(2.23) |
-9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caernarfon (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Colwyn Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Colwyn Bay won against Caernarfon Town?
Colwyn Bay has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colwyn Bay - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
01.08.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
3:0
31.12.2023
Caernarfon Town
-
Colwyn Bay
2:1
13.08.2023
Colwyn Bay
-
Caernarfon Town
0:4
Latest results of Colwyn Bay
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:10 | 29 | 32 |
| 2 | Penybont | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Barry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Flint | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
