Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (299/365) | 84% (423/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (299/365) | 84% (423/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 68% (91/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Sen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mendez P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
- 46', Vilchez Y. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Cuesta B. ⚽,
- 59', Biaggio C. 🟨,
- 62', Alcedo F. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 68', Bordacahar C. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 68', Quagliata N. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 70', Cardenas P. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 75', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
- 77', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 77', Cuesta B. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 87', Lecaros A. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Saavedra C. (A),
- 90+5', Liza P. 🟨,
- 90+7', Tandazo W. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
14.1% | Draw
27.1% | FBC Melgar
58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.1 ↑
(3) |
3.86 ↑
(3.31) |
1.78 ↓
(2.3) |
-5.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Melgar (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Melgar (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Melgar (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FBC Melgar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Aguilar R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against FBC Melgar?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Comerciantes Unidos?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar were as follows:
01.05.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
07.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
02.03.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
