Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.78
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
82% (299/365)	84% (423/505)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	1.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	1.27
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
20	37
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
82% (299/365)	84% (423/505)
Long passes
45% (25/56)	41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)	68% (91/133)
Crosses
41% (12/29)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	1.48
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
70% (7/10)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
38	32
Clearances
21	40
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.27	1.10
Goals prevented
0.27	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mendez P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
46', Vilchez Y. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Cuesta B. ⚽,
59', Biaggio C. 🟨,
62', Alcedo F. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
68', Bordacahar C. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
68', Quagliata N. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
70', Cardenas P. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
75', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
77', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
77', Cuesta B. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
87', Lecaros A. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Saavedra C. (A),
90+5', Liza P. 🟨,
90+7', Tandazo W. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Comerciantes Unidos
14.1%

Draw
27.1%

FBC Melgar
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.1 ↑ (3)	3.86 ↑ (3.31)	1.78 ↓ (2.3)	-5.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar?

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FBC Melgar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Aguilar R. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against FBC Melgar?

Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Comerciantes Unidos?

FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar were as follows:

01.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos 1:1

07.09.2024 FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0

02.03.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar 0:0

Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos

21.09.2025 Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos 4:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Huancayo 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 1:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos 1:2 ✺

Latest results of FBC Melgar

21.09.2025 FBC Melgar - Los Chankas 6:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 2:2 ✺

17.08.2025 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 2:1 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	12	9	3	0	23:8	15	30
2	Cusco	12	7	2	3	19:11	8	23
3	AD Tarma	13	6	3	4	17:17	0	21
4	Sporting Cristal	11	5	4	2	20:8	12	19
5	FBC Melgar	13	4	6	3	18:13	5	18
6	Alianza Lima	12	5	3	4	18:14	4	18
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	12	4	6	2	16:16	0	18
8	Alianza Atl	12	4	4	4	11:8	3	16
9	Comerciantes Unidos	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
10	Sport Huancayo	13	4	3	6	23:22	1	15
11	Cienciano	11	4	3	4	16:15	1	15
12	Grau	12	4	3	5	16:15	1	15
13	Los Chankas	11	5	0	6	14:24	-10	15
14	Alianza Huanuco	12	4	1	7	14:24	-10	13
15	Sport Boys	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
16	Juan Pablo II	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11
17	Ayacucho	12	3	2	7	10:19	-9	11
18	Cajamarca	11	1	3	7	9:16	-7	6
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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