Como vs Cremonese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 5
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.45
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (375/447)76% (239/313)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.82
Total shots
149
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
84% (375/447)76% (239/313)
Long passes
50% (27/54)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)59% (38/64)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.20
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1617
Tackles
73% (11/15)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
2214
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.821.70
Goals prevented
-0.180.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
  • 21', Roberto S. ↓, Da Cunha L. ↑,
  • 29', Perrone M. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Paz N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
  • 34', Ramon J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ramon J. ↓, Kempf M. O. ↑,
  • 46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
  • 46', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
  • 62', Payero M. 🟨,
  • 64', Payero M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
  • 64', Johnsen D. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
  • 66', Douvikas A. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Baschirotto F. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
  • 77', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
  • 82', Rodriguez J. 🟥,
  • 85', Floriani R. 🟨,
  • 87', Sanabria A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Paz N. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Bondo W. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Da Cunha L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Como
70.1%		Draw
19%		Cremonese
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 23.5% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 25.6% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.
  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Como - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.39 ↓
    (1.54)    		 5.31 ↑
    (4.07)    		 9.33 ↑
    (6.5)    		 1.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Como - Cremonese?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 56.8% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Como (votes: 13 - 65%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Como (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cremonese (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Cremonese (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Como (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Como (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 0.
    • Como is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cremonese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Como is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Como won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Como - Cremonese were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Cremonese - Como 2:1
    08.10.2023 Como - Cremonese 1:3
    Latest results of Como
    24.09.2025 Como - Sassuolo 3:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2 ✺
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺
    24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cremonese
    21.09.2025 Cremonese - Parma 0:0 ✺
    15.09.2025 Verona - Cremonese 0:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Cremonese - Sassuolo 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2 ✺
    16.08.2025 Cremonese - Palermo 0:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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