Result
3:1
27/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
France | FFF TV |
World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Wade P. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Soukouna Y. ⚽, Baldoni S. (A),
- 18', Mopila S. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 1, Mupemba N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Chahid Y. 🟨,
- 45+1', Lavallee L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Picouleau M. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Mupemba N. ⚽, Dembele S. (A),
- 60', Goncalves A. 🟨,
- 61', Etcheverria B. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
- 67', Da Silva F. ↓, Seydi A. ↑,
- 67', Ntumi M. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
- 78', Wade P. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
- 83', Djaha A. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
- 90+1', Boussaid W. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Mupemba N. ↓, Sako B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Châteauroux 35.5% | Draw 30% | Concarneau 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-1%)
Châteauroux - Concarneau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.56) |
3.06 ↓ (3.07) |
2.66 (2.66) |
8.9% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Châteauroux - Concarneau?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 2.
- Châteauroux has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Concarneau is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Concarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Châteauroux won against Concarneau?
Châteauroux has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Concarneau won against Châteauroux?
Concarneau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Châteauroux - Concarneau were as follows:
21.10.2025
Concarneau
-
Châteauroux
0:0
07.03.2025
Châteauroux
-
Concarneau
1:0
04.10.2024
Concarneau
-
Châteauroux
3:1
10.03.2023
Châteauroux
-
Concarneau
4:2
03.10.2022
Concarneau
-
Châteauroux
2:0
Latest results of Châteauroux
Latest results of Concarneau
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43:18 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Rouen | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Fleury-Merogis | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Versailles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Orleans | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | Valenciennes | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Villefranche | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Concarneau | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Caen | 27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Paris 13 Atl | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Aubagne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Bourg en Bresse | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:38 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Quevilly Rouen | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation