Leinster vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Leinster
87.8%
Draw
2.5%
Connacht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
87.6% 2.9% 9.5%

Leinster - Connacht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.05
(1.06)
35.83
(32.23)
9.83
(9.74)
8%
(7.7%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 5.
  • Leinster is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • In recent matches, Connacht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Leinster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Leinster is the undisputed favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 650:341. (average 32.5:17.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 353:172. (average 35.3:17.2).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leinster - Connacht were as follows:
21.12.2024 Leinster - Connacht 20:12
19.10.2024 Connacht - Leinster 12:33
31.05.2024 Leinster - Connacht 33:7
02.12.2023 Connacht - Leinster 22:24
01.01.2023 Leinster - Connacht 41:12
Latest results of Leinster
27.12.2025 Munster - Leinster 8:13
19.12.2025 Leinster - Ulster 24:20
12.12.2025 Leicester Tigers - Leinster 15:23
06.12.2025 Leinster - Harlequins 52:21
Latest results of Connacht
27.12.2025 Connacht - Ulster 24:29
13.12.2025 Connacht - Black Lion 52:0
07.12.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 24:21
29.11.2025 Connacht - Sharks 44:17
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26
PlWDLPts
1Stormers7700218:8732
2Munster8602180:13930
3Cardiff Rugby8602179:14130
4Glasgow Warriors8602206:10229
5Ulster7502231:16427
6Leinster8503187:17425
7Benetton8404159:21418
8Lions7304203:21217
9Connacht7205172:16816
10Bulls7304184:21115
11Edinburgh7205143:13313
12Ospreys8215163:20413
13Sharks7214134:19212
14Zebre8206144:24011
15Dragons8125151:22511
16Scarlets7205121:1699

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