Result
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Connacht
26.8% | Draw
3.9% | Leinster
69.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Connacht - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(3.41) |
23.48 ↑
(22.41) |
1.33 ↓
(1.36) |
8.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 0.
- Connacht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leinster is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Leinster is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 345:678. (average 17.3:33.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 169:297. (average 16.9:29.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Leinster?
Connacht has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Connacht?
Leinster has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Leinster were as follows:
03.01.2026
Leinster
-
Connacht
52:17
21.12.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
20:12
19.10.2024
Connacht
-
Leinster
12:33
31.05.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
33:7
02.12.2023
Connacht
-
Leinster
22:24
Latest results of Connacht
Latest results of Leinster
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 231:95 | 36 |
| 2 | Glasgow Warriors | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 253:112 | 34 |
| 3 | Ulster | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 259:167 | 31 |
| 4 | Cardiff Rugby | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 201:174 | 31 |
| 5 | Leinster | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 239:191 | 30 |
| 6 | Munster | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 183:167 | 30 |
| 7 | Lions | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 226:234 | 21 |
| 8 | Benetton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 173:229 | 19 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 196:226 | 18 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 158:147 | 17 |
| 11 | Bulls | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 192:224 | 16 |
| 12 | Connacht | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 189:220 | 16 |
| 13 | Dragons | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 179:230 | 16 |
| 14 | Sharks | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 156:215 | 14 |
| 15 | Zebre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 154:287 | 11 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 126:197 | 9 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
