Result
03/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leinster 87.9% | Draw 2.5% | Connacht 9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Leinster - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.05 ↓ (1.06) |
36.48 ↑ (32.23) |
9.8 ↑ (9.74) |
8% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 5.
- Leinster is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Connacht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leinster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leinster is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 650:341. (average 32.5:17.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 353:172. (average 35.3:17.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Connacht?
Leinster has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Leinster?
Connacht has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leinster - Connacht were as follows:
21.12.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
20:12
19.10.2024
Connacht
-
Leinster
12:33
31.05.2024
Leinster
-
Connacht
33:7
02.12.2023
Connacht
-
Leinster
22:24
01.01.2023
Leinster
-
Connacht
41:12
Latest results of Leinster
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 218:87 | 32 |
| 2 | Munster | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 180:139 | 30 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 179:141 | 30 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 206:102 | 29 |
| 5 | Ulster | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 231:164 | 27 |
| 6 | Leinster | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 187:174 | 25 |
| 7 | Benetton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 159:214 | 18 |
| 8 | Lions | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 203:212 | 17 |
| 9 | Connacht | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 172:168 | 16 |
| 10 | Bulls | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 184:211 | 15 |
| 11 | Edinburgh | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 143:133 | 13 |
| 12 | Ospreys | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 163:204 | 13 |
| 13 | Sharks | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 134:192 | 12 |
| 14 | Zebre | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 144:240 | 11 |
| 15 | Dragons | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 151:225 | 11 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 121:169 | 9 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)