Result
2:3
08/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 4
- Referee: Redder M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (458/524) | 78% (256/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (458/524) | 78% (256/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (103/142) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 3.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Mortensen P. ⚽, Madsen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 2, Bech T. ⚽,
- 59', Claesson V. ↓, Elyounoussi M. ↑,
- 59', Lerager L. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
- 59', Robert ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
- 63', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
- 67', Moukoko Y. ↓, Cornelius A. ↑,
- 71', Kahl E. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Links G. ⚽,
- 75', Links G. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 3, Larsson J. ⚽,
- 80', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 80', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 83', Cornelius A. 🟨,
- 83', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 3, Mattsson M. (Pen),
- 84', Huescas R. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
- 90+6', Beijmo F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Beijmo F. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 90+10', Hansen J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Copenhagen
52.9% | Draw
25.5% | AGF Aarhus
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Copenhagen's form might have worsened.AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Copenhagen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.58) |
3.71 ↓
(4.18) |
4.46 ↓
(5.35) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 31 - 93.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copenhagen: 85.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Copenhagen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 3.
- Copenhagen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarhus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Copenhagen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Copenhagen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Copenhagen: Hojer O.
(Surgery)
Moalem J.
(Hip Injury)
Suzuki J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Badji Y.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Copenhagen: Moukoko Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Dalsgaard H.
(Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Copenhagen will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 2.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Copenhagen won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:17. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Copenhagen won against AGF Aarhus?
Copenhagen has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Copenhagen?
AGF Aarhus has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
27.04.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
1:3
21.04.2025
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
08.02.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
4:3
10.11.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
1:1
28.07.2024
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
3:2
Latest results of Copenhagen
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brondby | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Randers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Odense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Midtjylland | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Viborg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Aarhus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Vejle | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Fredericia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sonderjyske | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Nordsjaelland | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
