Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 17
- Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/411) | 67% (198/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/411) | 67% (198/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (56/92) | 53% (56/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽, Arnstad K. (A),
- 30', Elyounoussi M. 🟨,
- 33', Kahl E. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Arnstad K. 🟨,
- 54', Robert 🟨,
- 58', Gabriel Pereira 🟨,
- 58', Poulsen N. 🟨,
- 61', Clem W. ↓, Dadason V. ↑,
- 63', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽,
- 69', Poulsen N. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 72', Larsson J. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
- 82', Lopez M. ↓, Meling B. ↑,
- 82', Madsen M. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
- 87', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 87', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 87', Arnstad K. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
37.6% | Draw
26.8% | Copenhagen
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.78) |
3.51 ↑
(3.3) |
2.65 ↑
(2.48) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Copenhagen (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
- Aarhus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Copenhagen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Copenhagen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Copenhagen: Delaney T.
(Knock)
Hojer O.
(Surgery)
Huescas R.
(Knee Injury)
Lerager L.
(Yellow Cards)
Mattsson M.
(Knee Injury)
West L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Yakob K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:41. (average 1.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Copenhagen?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Copenhagen won against AGF Aarhus?
Copenhagen has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen were as follows:
08.08.2025
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
2:3
27.04.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
1:3
21.04.2025
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
08.02.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
4:3
10.11.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
1:1
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Copenhagen
Danish Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 47:24 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 58:24 | 34 | 46 |
| 3 | Sonderjyske | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Viborg | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Brondby | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
