Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 28
- Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/444) | 81% (362/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/444) | 81% (362/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/74) | 44% (39/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (70/124) | 66% (97/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 2.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Lerager L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', Claesson V. ↓, Cornelius A. ↑,
- 61', Delaney T. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Beijmo F. ⚽,
- 71', Bardghji R. ↓, Robert ↑,
- 71', Lerager L. ↓, Mattsson M. ↑,
- 74', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Akoto M. ↑,
- 74', Bech T. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 77', Links G. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Larsson J. ⚽, Cornelius A. (A),
- 86', Links G. ↓, Bach T. ↑,
- 86', Arnstad K. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
- 90', Larsson J. 🟨,
- 90', Molgaard T. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 90+2', Larsson J. ↓, Garananga M. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Delaney T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
27.4% | Draw
27.5% | Copenhagen
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AGF Aarhus's form might have worsened.Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Copenhagen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Copenhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.6) |
3.42 ↓
(3.47) |
2.12 ↓
(2.59) |
5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 2.
- Aarhus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Copenhagen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Copenhagen will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Akoto M.
(Injury)
Andersen J.
(Injury)
Anderson M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kahl E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Copenhagen: Achouri E.
(Yellow Cards)
Boilesen N.
(Knee Injury)
Diks K.
(Injury)
Elyounoussi M.
(Inactive)
Hojer O.
(Surgery)
Huescas R.
(Yellow Cards)
Meling B.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramaj D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Copenhagen: Larsson J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:43 (average 1.4:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Copenhagen?
AGF Aarhus has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Copenhagen won against AGF Aarhus?
Copenhagen has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen were as follows:
21.04.2025
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
08.02.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
4:3
10.11.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
1:1
28.07.2024
Copenhagen
-
AGF Aarhus
3:2
21.05.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Copenhagen
3:2
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Copenhagen
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Brondby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Odense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Randers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Fredericia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Viborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Silkeborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
