Result
5:2
17/10/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | MEGOGO |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 565 | 338 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 479 | 272 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Matheus Franca ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 17', Canobbio A. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 18', 2 - 0, Caca ⚽,
- 26', Depay M. 🟨,
- 26', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 1, Nikao ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 39', 2 - 2, Erick ⚽, Nikao (A),
- 45', Julimar 🟨,
- 45+3', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Breno Bidon ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 54', Lucas Belezi 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 2, Depay M. ⚽,
- 59', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 64', Martinez J. ↓, Charles ↑,
- 66', 4 - 2, Garro R. ⚽,
- 68', Gabriel ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 68', Nikao ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 76', Depay M. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 78', 5 - 2, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Talles Magno (A),
- 80', Pablo ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 80', Lucas Belezi ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
- 84', Carrillo A. ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 85', Garro R. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
- 90+2', Caca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
58.1% | Draw
24.2% | Athletico Paranaense
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.75) |
3.93 ↑
(3.62) |
5.3 ↑
(4.7) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 2.
- Recent matches Corinthians is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Athletico PR is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Alex Santana
(Injury)
Maycon
(Injury)
Palacios D.
(Injury)
Ruan Oliveira
(Injury)
Talles Magno
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Fernandinho
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24:16 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Athletico Paranaense?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Corinthians?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
23.06.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Corinthians
1:1
01.11.2023
Corinthians
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
24.06.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Corinthians
1:0
08.10.2022
Corinthians
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
