Result
0:1
19/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/438) | 75% (267/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/438) | 75% (267/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 27% (17/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (65/100) | 43% (29/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 16', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 16', Julimar (Penalty Awarded),
- 21', 0 - 1, Garro R. ⚽,
- 45+5', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 45+6', Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Portilla J. ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 61', Garro R. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 61', Charles Rigon ↓, Allan ↑,
- 61', Vitinho ↓, Andre ↑,
- 67', Julimar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
- 70', Esquivel L. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
- 75', Pereira M. ↓, Andre Ramalho ↑,
- 82', Depay M. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 82', Zapelli B. ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 82', Mendoza S. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 84', Joao Cruz 🟨,
- 90+12', Hugo Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
37.3% | Draw
32.5% | Corinthians
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.66) |
2.91 ↑
(2.88) |
3.11 ↑
(2.85) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 20%). Corinthians (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Corinthians (5.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Corinthians (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Corinthians (3.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Athletico PR (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 3 - 30%). Corinthians (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
- Athletico PR has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Renan Peixoto
(Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Portilla J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Corinthians?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Athletico Paranaense?
Corinthians has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians were as follows:
10.09.2025
Corinthians
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
27.08.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Corinthians
0:1
17.10.2024
Corinthians
-
Athletico Paranaense
5:2
23.06.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Corinthians
1:1
01.11.2023
Corinthians
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
