Huracán Buenos Aires vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, DSports 1, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports+
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV4
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.73
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
74% (186/253)86% (411/479)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.95
Total shots
814
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
74% (186/253)86% (411/479)
Long passes
45% (20/44)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)71% (70/98)
Crosses
17% (2/12)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.46
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1314
Tackles
57% (13/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
3415
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.950.91
Goals prevented
0.95-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Cantillo V. 🟨,
  • 20', Caca 🟨,
  • 23', Cantillo V. , Carrizo L. ,
  • 35', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 41', Carrillo A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez J. , Talles Magno ,
  • 46', Perez L. , Ojeda E. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Watson F. N. , De La Fuente H. (A),
  • 57', Angel Romero , Garro R. ,
  • 57', Torres F. , Matheuzinho ,
  • 63', Sequeira L. , Tissera M. ,
  • 63', Pereyra F. , Moya S. ,
  • 70', Raniele 🟨,
  • 70', Ojeda E. 🟨,
  • 74', Breno Bidon , Igor Coronado ,
  • 76', Alanis G. , Abila R. ,
  • 82', Raniele , Maycon ,
  • 90+2', Lescano L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Huracán Buenos Aires
26.8%
Draw
32.3%
Corinthians
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 30.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huracán Buenos Aires's form might have worsened.
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Huracán Buenos Aires - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.62)
    2.89
    (3.12)
    2.3
    (2.74)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Huracán Buenos Aires - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Corinthians (1.55) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Huracán has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Corinthians is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Huracán has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Huracán Buenos Aires - Corinthians were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Corinthians - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)