Huracán Buenos Aires vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.630.75
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
81
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
103
Passes
77% (263/342)85% (400/473)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.630.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.470.68
Total shots
167
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
714
Passes
77% (263/342)85% (400/473)
Long passes
44% (20/45)53% (41/77)
Passes in final third
62% (71/115)65% (55/84)
Crosses
22% (5/23)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.33
Throw ins
2215
Fouls
147
Tackles
63% (12/19)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3951
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.682.47
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Copetti E. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 45+2', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Caicedo J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', Romero O. , Bisanz J. ,
  • 59', Gimenez E. , Avila G. ,
  • 60', Pizarro V. , Ibarra F. ,
  • 60', Campo I. , Kalinger F. ,
  • 63', Ojeda E. 🟨,
  • 66', Ojeda E. , Gil L. ,
  • 71', Fernandez J. , Campaz J. ,
  • 75', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 77', Navarro F. , Veliz A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Bisanz J. ,
  • 88', Cortes O. , Nervo H. ,
  • 88', Waller Martiarena F. F. , Carrizo L. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Nervo H. , Bisanz J. (A),

Chances of winning


Huracán Buenos Aires
38.2%
Draw
33.7%
Rosario Central
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 32.6% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 32.4% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huracán Buenos Aires's performance.
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huracán Buenos Aires that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.85)
    2.8
    (2.85)
    3.31
    (2.68)
    6.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Huracán is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Huracán: Gimenez L. (Inactive) Rios M. (Ankle Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Ruben M. (Muscle Injury) Sandez A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1
    27.07.2024 Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1
    29.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central 2:0
    06.10.2023 Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    20.03.2023 Huracán Buenos Aires - Rosario Central 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)