Nacional Asuncion vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians
Result
0:2
07/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.06
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1812
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
107
Free Kicks
925
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
30
Throw-ins
1924
Goalkeeper Saves
38
Fouls
2210
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
31
Attacks
9595
Dangerous Attacks
4937

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Meza L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Nunez C. 🟨,
  • 57', Wesley 🟨,
  • 59', Gustavo Mosquito , Yuri Alberto ,
  • 59', Guilherme Biro , Matheus Franca ,
  • 62', Blas Caceres 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Yuri Alberto , Angel Romero (A),
  • 76', Blas Caceres , Santacruz Rodas J. F. ,
  • 76', Meza L. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 82', Caballero G. , Bailone I. ,
  • 84', Wesley , Gustavo Henrique ,
  • 89', Alfaro J. , Caballero Fleytas T. I. ,
  • 90+5', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟥,
  • 90+7', 0 - 2, Matheus Franca , Hugo (A),
  • 90+8', Matheus Franca , Giovane ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
18.1%
Draw
25.7%
Corinthians
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 27.9% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 27% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (3.78)
    3.63
    (3.35)
    1.67
    (1.97)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nacional Asuncion is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Corinthians is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Nacional Asuncion have a series of home games.
    • In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians were as follows:
    09.04.2024 Corinthians - Nacional Asuncion 4:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2