Result
0:2
07/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 95 | 95 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Meza L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Nunez C. 🟨,
- 57', Wesley 🟨,
- 59', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 59', Guilherme Biro ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 62', Blas Caceres 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
- 76', Blas Caceres ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
- 76', Meza L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 82', Caballero G. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 84', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
- 89', Alfaro J. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 90+5', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟥,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Matheus Franca ⚽, Hugo (A),
- 90+8', Matheus Franca ↓, Giovane ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
18.1% | Draw
25.7% | Corinthians
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(3.78) |
3.63 ↑
(3.35) |
1.67 ↓
(1.97) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional Asuncion is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Corinthians is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Nacional Asuncion have a series of home games.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Corinthians?
Nacional Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Nacional Asuncion?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians were as follows:
09.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Nacional Asuncion
4:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
