Sport Recife vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Corinthians
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.66
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
72% (170/235)82% (278/341)
Yellow Cards
61
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.300.26
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
58
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1630
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
917
Passes
72% (170/235)82% (278/341)
Long passes
33% (15/45)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
64% (51/80)62% (48/77)
Crosses
12% (2/17)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.44
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
179
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5063
Clearances
3027
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.261.30
Goals prevented
0.260.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Matheusinho ,
  • 61', Matheusinho 🟨,
  • 64', Angileri F. , Raniele ,
  • 64', Martinez J. , Talles Magno ,
  • 69', Matheusinho , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 70', Hyoran , Atencio R. ,
  • 78', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 78', Vitinho , Angel Romero ,
  • 78', Maycon , Dieguinho ,
  • 84', Aderlan , Matheus Alexandre ,
  • 85', Leo Pereira , Igor Carius ,
  • 85', Matheuzinho , Hugo ,
  • 90+2', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
  • 90+3', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
  • 90+7', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ze Lucas 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ze Lucas , Lucas Kal ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
31.7%
Draw
33.4%
Corinthians
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 31.3% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 30.7% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Sport Recife - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.77)
    2.84
    (2.99)
    2.77
    (2.69)
    4.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Corinthians?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
    • Recife has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Corinthians is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Igor Carius (Calf Injury) Lucas Lima (Yellow Cards) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury) Pedro Augusto (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Knee Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Gui Negao (Yellow Cards) Martinez J. (Ankle Injury) Raniele (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Matheus Alexandre (Health problems) Pablo (Illness)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Corinthians were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Corinthians - Sport Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet