Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (170/235) | 82% (278/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (170/235) | 82% (278/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 62% (48/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Matheusinho ⚽,
- 61', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 64', Angileri F. ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 64', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 69', Matheusinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 70', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 78', Gabriel 🟨,
- 78', Vitinho ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 78', Maycon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 84', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 85', Leo Pereira ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 85', Matheuzinho ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 90+2', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
- 90+3', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 90+7', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
- 90+8', Ze Lucas 🟨,
- 90+8', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
31.7% | Draw
33.4% | Corinthians
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sport Recife - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.77) |
2.84 ↓
(2.99) |
2.77 ↑
(2.69) |
4.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
- Recife has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Corinthians is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Calf Injury)
Lucas Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro Augusto
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Knee Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gui Negao
(Yellow Cards)
Martinez J.
(Ankle Injury)
Raniele
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Matheus Alexandre
(Health problems)
Pablo
(Illness)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Corinthians?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Sport Recife?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Corinthians were as follows:
19.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Sport Recife
2:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:21 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Internacional | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
