Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (447/521) | 81% (289/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (447/521) | 81% (289/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 75% (75/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Caique Franca 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Oliveira S. ⚽, Hereda (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
- 53', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 55', Arthur Sousa ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 55', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 58', Torres F. 🟨,
- 58', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Depay M. ⚽,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 64', Oliveira S. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 70', Breno Bidon ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 70', Carrillo A. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 70', Rivera C. ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
- 77', Matheus Donelli 🟨,
- 78', Raniele ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 78', Angel Romero ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 90+3', Yuri Alberto ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
56% | Draw
26.3% | Sport Recife
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2%)
Corinthians - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.47) |
3.66 ↓
(4.14) |
5.37 ↓
(7.71) |
4.5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recife has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Hugo Souza
(Hamstring Injury)
Martinez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Recife: Antonio Carlos
(Hamstring Injury)
Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheus Alexandre
(Yellow Cards)
Pablo
(Inactive)
Paciencia G.
(Muscle Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Igor Coronado
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:14 (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:6 (average 2.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Sport Recife?
Corinthians has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Corinthians?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Sport Recife were as follows:
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
