Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.17 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (447/521) | 81% (289/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.17 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 15 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
86% (447/521) | 81% (289/359) |
Long passes |
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59% (30/51) | 51% (19/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (68/99) | 75% (75/100) |
Crosses |
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44% (4/9) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.14 | 0.37 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Tackles |
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68% (13/19) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 42 |
Clearances Total |
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15 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 3 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Caique Franca 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Oliveira S. ⚽, Hereda (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Angel Romero (A),
- 53', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 55', Arthur Sousa ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 55', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 58', Torres F. 🟨,
- 58', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Depay M. ⚽,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 64', Oliveira S. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 70', Breno Bidon ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 70', Carrillo A. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 70', Rivera C. ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
- 77', Matheus Donelli 🟨,
- 78', Raniele ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 78', Angel Romero ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 90+3', Yuri Alberto ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians 56% | Draw 26.3% | Sport Recife 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Recife's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2%)
Corinthians - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.47) |
3.66 ↓ (4.14) |
5.37 ↓ (7.71) |
4.5% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recife has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Knee Injury)
Hugo Souza
(Hamstring Injury)
Martinez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Recife: Antonio Carlos
(Hamstring Injury)
Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheus Alexandre
(Yellow Cards)
Pablo
(Inactive)
Paciencia G.
(Muscle Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Igor Coronado
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31:14 (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:6 (average 2.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Sport Recife?
Corinthians has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Corinthians?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Sport Recife were as follows:
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet