Sport Recife vs Corinthians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife).

Serie A Betano - Round 24
Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.66
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
72% (170/235)	82% (278/341)
Yellow Cards
6	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	0.26
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
5	8
Shots inside the Box
4	13
Shots outside the Box
8	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
16	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	17
Passes
72% (170/235)	82% (278/341)
Long passes
33% (15/45)	48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
64% (51/80)	62% (48/77)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.44
Throw-ins
18	22
Fouls
17	9
Tackles
65% (11/17)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
50	63
Clearances
30	27
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.26	1.30
Goals prevented
0.26	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Matheusinho ⚽,
61', Matheusinho 🟨,
64', Angileri F. ↓, Raniele ↑,
64', Martinez J. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
69', Matheusinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
70', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
78', Gabriel 🟨,
78', Vitinho ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
78', Maycon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
84', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
85', Leo Pereira ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
85', Matheuzinho ↓, Hugo ↑,
90+2', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
90+3', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
90+7', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
90+8', Ze Lucas 🟨,
90+8', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sport Recife
31.7%

Draw
33.4%

Corinthians
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.7%

35.5%

Sport Recife - Corinthians Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.77)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	2.77 ↑ (2.69)	4.3% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Corinthians?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
Recife has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Corinthians is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Igor Carius (Calf Injury) Lucas Lima (Yellow Cards) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury) Pedro Augusto (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Knee Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Gui Negao (Yellow Cards) Martinez J. (Ankle Injury) Raniele (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Recife: Matheus Alexandre (Health problems) Pablo (Illness)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Corinthians?

Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Sport Recife?

Corinthians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Corinthians were as follows:

19.04.2025 Corinthians - Sport Recife 2:1

Latest results of Sport Recife

14.09.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama 2:3 ✺

25.08.2025 Palmeiras - Sport Recife 3:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Sport Recife - São Paulo 2:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Grêmio - Sport Recife 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Corinthians

13.09.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

10.09.2025 Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Corinthians - Palmeiras 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - Corinthians 2:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	38	23	10	5	78:27	51	79
2	Palmeiras	38	23	7	8	66:33	33	76
3	Cruzeiro	38	19	13	6	55:31	24	70
4	Mirassol	38	18	13	7	63:39	24	67
5	Fluminense	38	19	7	12	50:39	11	64
6	Botafogo RJ	38	17	12	9	58:38	20	63
7	Bahia	38	17	9	12	50:46	4	60
8	Sao Paulo	38	14	9	15	43:47	-4	51
9	Gremio	38	13	10	15	47:50	-3	49
10	Bragantino	38	14	6	18	45:57	-12	48
11	Atletico-MG	38	12	12	14	43:44	-1	48
12	Santos	38	12	11	15	45:50	-5	47
13	Corinthians	38	12	11	15	42:47	-5	47
14	Vasco	38	13	6	19	55:60	-5	45
15	Vitoria	38	11	12	15	35:52	-17	45
16	Internacional	38	11	11	16	44:57	-13	44
17	Ceara	38	11	10	17	34:40	-6	43
18	Fortaleza	38	11	10	17	43:58	-15	43
19	Juventude	38	9	8	21	35:69	-34	35
20	Sport Recife	38	2	11	25	28:75	-47	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet