Corinthians vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter

Chances of winning


Corinthians
67.8%
Draw
21.9%
Independiente Santa Fe
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 20.1% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 18.6% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.39)
    4.3
    (4.62)
    9.17
    (6.97)
    6.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Corinthians is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Inactive) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Inactive) Kaio Cesar (Thigh Injury) Milans P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury) Murillo E. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Corinthians
    12.04.2026 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:0
    09.04.2026 Platense - Corinthians 0:2
    01.04.2026 Fluminense - Corinthians 3:1
    22.03.2026 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    2Flamengo RJ11002:023
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense10100:001
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Cerro Porteno21011:103
    3Palmeiras10101:101
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central21101:014
    2Universidad Central11003:123
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)