Barracas Central vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.99
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
34
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
65
Passes
74% (219/294)88% (461/522)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.99
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.68
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
37
Shots outside the box
98
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
79
Passes
74% (219/294)88% (461/522)
Long passes
43% (18/42)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)76% (67/88)
Crosses
28% (7/25)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.46
Throw ins
1413
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (10/19)44% (7/16)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.680.40
Goals prevented
0.680.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Morales G. , Briasco N. ,
  • 66', Matheus Franca 🟨,
  • 66', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 68', Porra T. 🟨,
  • 71', Matheus Franca , Adson ,
  • 71', Riquelme Avellar , Hinestroza M. ,
  • 77', Tapia I. , Puig M. ,
  • 79', Puig M. 🟥,
  • 82', Candia J. 🟨,
  • 82', Candia J. , Maroni G. ,
  • 82', Moreira N. , Lukas Zuccarello ,
  • 89', Briasco N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lukas Zuccarello 🟨,
  • 90+2', Martinez D. , Barrios R. ,

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
40.4%
Draw
30.1%
Vasco da Gama
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 29.3% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.7% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barracas Central's performance.
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barracas Central that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.85)
    3.06
    (3.22)
    3.21
    (2.52)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barracas Central: 28.1%71.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Vasco (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barracas Central will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Barracas Central is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    01.04.2026 Coritiba - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    22.03.2026 Vasco da Gama - Grêmio 2:1
    18.03.2026 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 3:2
    15.03.2026 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 3:3
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America De Cali21103:214
    2Macara21102:114
    3Alianza Atl20112:3-11
    4Tigre20111:2-11


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano21103:124
    2Puerto Cabello21012:3-13
    3Atletico-MG21013:303
    4Juventud20112:3-11


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo22003:036
    2O'Higgins21012:203
    3Millonarios21011:2-13
    4Boston River20020:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo21103:124
    2Dep. Cuenca21011:2-13
    3Recoleta20202:202
    4Santos20111:2-11


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ21104:314
    2Caracas21102:114
    3Racing Club21015:413
    4Independiente20021:4-30


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City22003:036
    2Gremio21011:103
    3Dep. Riestra20110:1-11
    4Palestino20110:2-21


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion21102:024
    2A. Italiano21012:3-13
    3Barracas Central20200:002
    4Vasco20111:2-11


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate21102:114
    2Carabobo21011:103
    3Bragantino21013:303
    4Blooming20113:4-11

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)