Coritiba vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Coritiba - Paysandu
Result
2:5
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 17
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.58
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
85% (408/481)69% (178/257)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.683.88
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
85% (408/481)69% (178/257)
Long passes
45% (19/42)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
74% (119/160)53% (28/53)
Crosses
23% (9/40)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.24
Throw-ins
2611
Fouls
1612
Tackles
70% (7/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
1744
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
3.881.68
Goals prevented
-1.12-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 25', Mauricio Antonio 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Josue ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mauricio Garcez ,
  • 31', 1 - 2, Diogo Oliveira , Reverson (A),
  • 33', Iury Castilho , Clayson ,
  • 44', 1 - 3, Diogo Oliveira , Reverson (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zeca , Alex Silva ,
  • 47', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Josue (Pen),
  • 67', Gomez S. , de Pena C. ,
  • 69', 2 - 4, Marlon Douglas (Pen),
  • 75', Filipe Machado , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 75', Lucas Ronier , Everaldo ,
  • 76', Denner , Matheus Vargas ,
  • 76', Marlon Douglas , Vinicius Faria ,
  • 77', Everaldo 🟨,
  • 79', Clayson 🟨,
  • 80', Anderson Leite , Ramon Martinez ,
  • 85', Diogo Oliveira , Benitez J. ,
  • 85', Leandro Vilela , Ronaldo Henrique ,
  • 87', 2 - 5, Mauricio Garcez , Ronaldo Henrique (A),
  • 90+4', Vinicius Faria 🟨,

Chances of winning


Coritiba
59.6%
Draw
26%
Paysandu
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.6% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 25.1% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Coritiba - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.66)
    3.56
    (3.51)
    6.44
    (5.5)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Coritiba - Paysandu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Coritiba will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
    • Coritiba has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Paysandu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Coritiba is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva (Inactive) Maicon (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Rossi (Yellow Cards) Thalisson (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Quintana Y. (Injury)
    • We predict that Coritiba will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Paysandu were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Paysandu - Coritiba 2:1
    07.07.2024 Coritiba - Paysandu 1:1
    Latest results of Coritiba
    10.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Coritiba 0:1
    04.07.2025 Coritiba - Volta Redonda 2:0
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    Latest results of Paysandu
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Remo - Paysandu 0:1
    13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Criciuma30148839:261350
    3Goias29148734:26850
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Novorizontino291211632:26647
    6Cuiaba301210837:34346
    7Chapecoense-SC291351141:301144
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14Ferroviaria29812933:36-336
    15America MG29961429:35-633
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda29791319:31-1230
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )