Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (492/539) | 91% (459/507) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (492/539) | 91% (459/507) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 70% (48/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (80/105) | 75% (83/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Dellatorre ⚽,
- 25', Matheus Nogueira ↓, Gabriel Mesquita ↑,
- 40', 0 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽,
- 45+3', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Clayson ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 60', Denilson ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 60', Lucca Carvalho ↓, Matheus Capixaba ↑,
- 63', Josue 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Quintana Y. ⚽, Marcelinho (A),
- 69', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 71', Josue ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 71', Dellatorre ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 77', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 81', Iury Castilho ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 82', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 87', Marcelinho ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
- 87', Andre Lima ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 88', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
13.7% | Draw
23.6% | Coritiba
62.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Paysandu - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.85 ↑
(5.91) |
3.93 ↑
(3.36) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Coritiba will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Paysandu is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2.
- Paysandu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Coritiba is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges
(Injury)
Denner
(Injury)
Diogo Oliveira
(Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edilson
(Yellow Cards)
Edinho
(Inactive)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
Novillo J.
(Inactive)
Petterson Novaes
(Inactive)
Ronaldo Henrique
(Inactive)
Rossi
(Inactive)
Thiago Heleno
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier
(Yellow Cards)
Nicolas Careca
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Coritiba?
Paysandu has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Paysandu?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Coritiba were as follows:
19.07.2025
Coritiba
-
Paysandu
2:5
23.10.2024
Paysandu
-
Coritiba
2:1
07.07.2024
Coritiba
-
Paysandu
1:1
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo SP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Goias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Londrina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Avai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Athletic Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | CRB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ceara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Sport Recife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nautico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | America MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Novorizontino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Juventude | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
