Result
1:0
07/10/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/445) | 81% (334/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (352/445) | 81% (334/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/65) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (86/130) | 63% (48/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 45+7', Edilson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Maciel L. 🟨,
- 60', Denner ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
- 61', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Rossi ↑,
- 66', Maciel L. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 72', Dramisino A. ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
- 72', Gabriel Barros ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
- 81', Andre Lima ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 84', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 84', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽, Jefferson Nem (A),
- 90+6', Jefferson Nem 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
36% | Draw
32.8% | Paysandu
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Botafogo SP - Paysandu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.22) |
2.91 ↓
(3.2) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
6.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Paysandu?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Paysandu (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Botafogo SP (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 20%). Paysandu (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Botafogo SP has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paysandu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Botafogo SP might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Inactive)
Carrillo R.
(Inactive)
Edson
(Red Card)
Tortello
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
Reverson
(Yellow Cards)
Thiago Heleno
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Anderson Leite
(Inactive)
Andre Lima
(Injury)
Diogo Oliveira
(Injury)
Dudu Vieira
(Inactive)
Edinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Paysandu?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Botafogo SP?
Paysandu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Paysandu were as follows:
13.06.2025
Paysandu
-
Botafogo SP
1:0
18.08.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Paysandu
1:1
27.04.2024
Paysandu
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Paysandu
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
