Result
5:1
21/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 58.9% | Draw 25.3% | Coritiba 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.78) |
3.69 ↑ (3.42) |
5.97 ↑ (4.48) |
6.4% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
- Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Coritiba has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Vasco is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias
(Injury)
Patrick de Lucca
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia
(Injury)
Jean Pedroso
(Injury)
Reynaldo
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Coritiba?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Vasco da Gama?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Coritiba were as follows:
11.05.2023
Coritiba
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet