Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Coritiba
Result
5:1
21/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Coritiba
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 27.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 27% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.
  • Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.78)
    3.69
    (3.42)
    5.97
    (4.48)
    6.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
    • Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Coritiba has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Vasco is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Patrick de Lucca (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia (Injury) Jean Pedroso (Injury) Reynaldo (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Coritiba were as follows:
    11.05.2023 Coritiba - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Coritiba
    14.09.2023 Coritiba - Bahia 2:4
    27.08.2023 Fortaleza - Coritiba 3:1
    20.08.2023 Coritiba - Flamengo 2:3
    13.08.2023 Corinthians - Coritiba 3:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol261110542:281443
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Vasco27961242:41133
    11Corinthians27891029:32-333
    12Gremio27891028:33-533
    13Internacional26881032:38-632
    14Ceara25871023:24-131
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet