Result
5:1
21/09/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 24
- Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 58.9% | Draw 25.3% | Coritiba 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.78) |
3.69 ↑ (3.42) |
5.97 ↑ (4.48) |
6.4% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
Vasco da Gama will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
- Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Coritiba has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Vasco is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias
(Injury)
Patrick de Lucca
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia
(Injury)
Jean Pedroso
(Injury)
Reynaldo
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Coritiba?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Vasco da Gama?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Coritiba were as follows:
11.05.2023
Coritiba
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47:10 | 37 | 50 |
2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30:14 | 16 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
11 | Ceara | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
12 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Vasco | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 23 |
16 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet