Result
1:2
31/07/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/431) | 82% (259/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (373/431) | 82% (259/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (157/197) | 67% (61/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', Andre Luis 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Tiago Pagnussat (Own goal),
- 22', Jacy 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 1, Dodo (Pen),
- 27', Filipe Machado 🟨,
- 31', Filipe Machado 🟨,
- 36', Iury Castilho ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Jacy ⚽, Alex Silva (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
- 46', Arilson ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
- 61', Andre Luis ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 63', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 67', Zeca 🟨,
- 68', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 71', Tiago Coser 🟨,
- 72', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
- 73', Joao Vieira ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 73', Guilherme Parede ↓, Gustavo Mathiello ↑,
- 75', Josue ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 75', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 83', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
- 90+4', Elias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
36% | Draw
33.8% | Coritiba
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)The chances for Coritiba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Vila Nova - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.33) |
2.75 ↓
(3.05) |
3.08 ↑
(3.05) |
7.8%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Coritiba?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Vila Nova?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Coritiba were as follows:
05.04.2025
Coritiba
-
Vila Nova
1:0
19.10.2024
Vila Nova
-
Coritiba
0:3
29.06.2024
Coritiba
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
| 11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
