Vila Nova vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Coritiba
Result
1:2
31/07/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.86
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (373/431)82% (259/317)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.82
Total shots
2213
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
813
Passes
87% (373/431)82% (259/317)
Long passes
69% (31/45)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
80% (157/197)67% (61/91)
Crosses
16% (4/25)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.61
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
138
Tackles
82% (9/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4048
Clearances
1339
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.821.57
Goals prevented
-0.180.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', Andre Luis 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Tiago Pagnussat (Own goal),
  • 22', Jacy 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Dodo (Pen),
  • 27', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 31', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 36', Iury Castilho , Tiago Coser ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Jacy , Alex Silva (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Willian Formiga , Higor ,
  • 46', Arilson , Gabriel Poveda ,
  • 61', Andre Luis , Junior Todinho ,
  • 63', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 67', Zeca 🟨,
  • 68', Junior Todinho 🟨,
  • 71', Tiago Coser 🟨,
  • 72', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
  • 73', Joao Vieira , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 73', Guilherme Parede , Gustavo Mathiello ,
  • 75', Josue , Vini Paulista ,
  • 75', Lucas Ronier , Wallisson ,
  • 83', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
  • 90+4', Elias 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
36%
Draw
33.8%
Coritiba
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 30.2% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 29.7% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • The chances for Coritiba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Vila Nova - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.33)
    2.75
    (3.05)
    3.08
    (3.05)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Coritiba were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:0
    19.10.2024 Vila Nova - Coritiba 0:3
    29.06.2024 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:1
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    27.07.2025 Volta Redonda - Vila Nova 2:1
    22.07.2025 Vila Nova - CRB Maceio 2:0
    19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    Latest results of Coritiba
    27.07.2025 Coritiba - Amazonas 1:1
    22.07.2025 Athletic Club - Coritiba 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    10.07.2025 CRB Maceio - Coritiba 0:1
    04.07.2025 Coritiba - Volta Redonda 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )