Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 28
Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	2.14
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
76% (281/371)	76% (271/355)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	2.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	1.30
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
4	10
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
20	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
7	13
Passes
76% (281/371)	76% (271/355)
Long passes
27% (14/51)	52% (33/64)
Passes in final third
61% (67/109)	65% (91/140)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.92
Throw ins
14	22
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
70% (7/10)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
33	72
Clearances
29	31
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.30	1.25
Goals prevented
0.30	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Struski K. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ameyaw M. ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
59', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
59', Ilenic M. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
59', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, van Hoeven B. (A),
74', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
75', Ede B. 🟨,
78', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
78', Ede B. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
78', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
85', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
90+1', Labojko J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Ndiaye M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Motor Lublin
31%

Draw
26.8%

Raków Częstochowa
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)	6.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: Motor Lublin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)
Motor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Raków has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Raków has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Motor: Bartos M. (Yellow Cards) Plichta K. (Injury) Samper S. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Yellow Cards) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pienko T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Raków: Trelowski K. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Raków Częstochowa?

Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Motor Lublin?

Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

05.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:0

07.12.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin 2:2

21.07.2024 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2

01.03.2023 Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa 0:3

Latest results of Motor Lublin

06.04.2026 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 1:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Motor Lublin 1:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

09.04.2026 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 5:4 ✺

04.04.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź 1:1 ✺

29.03.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów 5:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

19.03.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	55:41	14	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	32:28	4	45
6	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	43:41	2	44
7	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	43:36	7	44
8	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	40:41	-1	40
9	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
10	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	38:37	1	39
11	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	39:45	-6	39
12	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
13	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	40:45	-5	38
14	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
15	Legia	30	8	13	9	34:36	-2	37
16	Widzew Lodz	30	10	6	14	36:37	-1	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	30	7	7	16	36:55	-19	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1