Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.27
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Long passes
32% (19/60)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)55% (52/95)
Crosses
59% (10/17)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.86
Throw-ins
1225
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6063
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.271.73
Goals prevented
0.27-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 31', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Bajrami G. , Anderson M. ,
  • 62', Scott K. , Dixon K. ,
  • 62', Brown R. , Holohan G. ,
  • 63', Angol L. , Power D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, McKirdy H. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 71', Sherring S. , Martin J. ,
  • 72', Hutchinson I. , Pell H. ,
  • 82', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 83', Young L. , Taylor T. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 85', Pereira D. , Malone S. ,
  • 89', Tshimanga K. , Flower L. ,
  • 90+4', Adeyemo A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
48.5%
Draw
26.5%
Cheltenham Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25.3% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 25.1% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.74)
    3.54
    (3.7)
    3.74
    (4.45)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Recent performances by Crawley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1482419:13626
    2Swindon1482424:19526
    3Salford1481520:18225
    4MK Dons1473427:151224
    5Notts Co1473425:151024
    6Grimsby1473427:18924
    7Chesterfield1465324:21323
    8Gillingham1464419:14522
    9Crewe1471620:18222
    10Fleetwood1464421:20122
    11Bromley1456321:18321
    12Barnet1463518:15321
    13Cambridge Utd1463516:15121
    14Colchester1446421:18318
    15Barrow1453613:15-218
    16Bristol Rovers1452714:25-1117
    17Oldham1437412:12016
    18Tranmere1336421:19215
    19Harrogate1442815:23-814
    20Cheltenham1442810:25-1514
    21Shrewsbury1434712:22-1013
    22Accrington1333712:16-412
    23Crawley1433814:22-812
    24Newport1432914:23-911

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League