Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.20 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
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58% | 42% |
Total shots |
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17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Passes |
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78% (302/388) | 71% (192/272) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.20 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.73 | 0.27 |
Total shots |
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17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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29 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 13 |
Passes |
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78% (302/388) | 71% (192/272) |
Long passes |
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32% (19/60) | 36% (26/72) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (57/105) | 55% (52/95) |
Crosses |
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59% (10/17) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.49 | 0.86 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 25 |
Fouls |
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13 | 15 |
Tackles |
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67% (12/18) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
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60 | 63 |
Clearances |
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29 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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0.27 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
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0.27 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Scott K. 🟨,
- 31', Bennett S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Bajrami G. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 62', Scott K. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
- 62', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 63', Angol L. ↓, Power D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, McKirdy H. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
- 71', Sherring S. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 72', Hutchinson I. ↓, Pell H. ↑,
- 82', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 83', Young L. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, McKirdy H. (Pen),
- 85', Pereira D. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
- 89', Tshimanga K. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
- 90+4', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town 48.5% | Draw 26.5% | Cheltenham Town 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.74) |
3.54 ↓ (3.7) |
3.74 ↓ (4.45) |
6.7% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
- Recent performances by Crawley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Crawley Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crawley Town?
Cheltenham Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
5 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
6 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
7 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
10 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League