Cheltenham Town vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.54
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
69% (198/285)77% (309/402)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.710.51
Total shots
129
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
69% (198/285)77% (309/402)
Long passes
32% (22/69)34% (25/73)
Passes in final third
49% (37/76)48% (48/100)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.62
Throw-ins
2732
Fouls
1514
Tackles
57% (8/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
6449
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.512.71
Goals prevented
0.51-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Russell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Miller G. , Adelakun H. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Adelakun H. , Hutchinson I. (A),
  • 69', 2 - 0, Thomas J. ,
  • 73', Thomas J. , Harmon G. ,
  • 73', Hutchinson I. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Cundy R. , Young L. (A),
  • 77', Brown R. , Pereira D. ,
  • 77', Richards T. , Roles J. ,
  • 77', Adeyemo T. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 80', Jude-Boyd A. , Power D. ,
  • 81', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 89', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Power D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
35.8%
Draw
27.5%
Crawley Town
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 27.6% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.3% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheltenham Town's performance.
  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (3.2)
    3.38
    (3.33)
    2.57
    (2.1)
    7.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Cheltenham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cheltenham Town will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cheltenham Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
    • Cheltenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crawley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Mazionis J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League