Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/388) | 71% (192/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/388) | 71% (192/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (57/105) | 55% (52/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Scott K. 🟨,
- 31', Bennett S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Bajrami G. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 62', Scott K. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
- 62', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 63', Angol L. ↓, Power D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, McKirdy H. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
- 71', Sherring S. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 72', Hutchinson I. ↓, Pell H. ↑,
- 82', Miller G. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 83', Young L. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, McKirdy H. (Pen),
- 85', Pereira D. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
- 89', Tshimanga K. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
- 90+4', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
48.5% | Draw
26.5% | Cheltenham Town
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.74) |
3.54 ↓
(3.7) |
3.74 ↓
(4.45) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
- Recent performances by Crawley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Crawley Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crawley Town?
Cheltenham Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
