Crawley Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.27
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
78% (302/388)71% (192/272)
Long passes
32% (19/60)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
54% (57/105)55% (52/95)
Crosses
59% (10/17)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.86
Throw-ins
1225
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6063
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.271.73
Goals prevented
0.27-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 31', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Bajrami G. , Anderson M. ,
  • 62', Scott K. , Dixon K. ,
  • 62', Brown R. , Holohan G. ,
  • 63', Angol L. , Power D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, McKirdy H. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 71', Sherring S. , Martin J. ,
  • 72', Hutchinson I. , Pell H. ,
  • 82', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 83', Young L. , Taylor T. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 85', Pereira D. , Malone S. ,
  • 89', Tshimanga K. , Flower L. ,
  • 90+4', Adeyemo A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
48.5%
Draw
26.5%
Cheltenham Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25.3% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 25.1% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.74)
    3.54
    (3.7)
    3.74
    (4.45)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Recent performances by Crawley have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League