Gillingham vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Result
2:2
15/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 16
  • Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Premier League
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.57
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
59% (131/221)84% (328/389)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.59
Total shots
1720
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
3727
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
109
Passes
59% (131/221)84% (328/389)
Long passes
46% (29/63)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
50% (66/132)74% (75/102)
Crosses
41% (9/22)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.67
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
910
Tackles
47% (8/17)50% (3/6)
Duels won
6345
Clearances
3158
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
1.592.73
Goals prevented
-0.410.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 30', Brown R. 🟨,
  • 36', Anderson M. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Dack B. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Bajrami G. ⚽, Forster H. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, McKenzie R. (Pen),
  • 73', Khumbeni N. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
  • 78', Brown R. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
  • 78', McCleary G. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
  • 78', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
  • 78', Dack B. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Flint J. (A),
  • 83', Flower L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
47.7%		Draw
25.9%		Crawley Town
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.1% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Gillingham - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.97 ↑
    (1.88)    		 3.6 ↑
    (3.57)    		 3.6 ↓
    (3.84)    		 6.4%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 31.2% – 83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gillingham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Crawley (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Gillingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Crawley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Gillingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Morris G. (Injury) Nevitt E. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury) McKirdy H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Crawley Town were as follows:
    26.12.2023 Gillingham - Crawley Town 0:2
    19.08.2023 Crawley Town - Gillingham 0:1
    04.02.2023 Gillingham - Crawley Town 1:0
    22.11.2022 Crawley Town - Gillingham 0:0
    Latest results of Gillingham
    11.11.2025 Gillingham - Wycombe Wanderers 0:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Gillingham 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2
    25.10.2025 Gillingham - Salford City 1:2
    18.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    11.11.2025 Crawley Town - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺
    08.11.2025 Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Boreham Wood - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town 1:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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