Result
4:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (240/356) | 76% (369/485) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 58% (61/105) | 59% (85/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 18% (2/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 43% (6/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Collins J. ⚽, Jefferies D. (A),
- 24', 2 - 1, Makama J. ⚽,
- 32', 3 - 1, Jefferies D. ⚽, Makama J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Feely R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 64', Jefferies D. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
- 64', Makama J. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 64', Conroy D. ↓, Tanimu B. ↑,
- 72', Bayliss T. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
- 74', Doyle K. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 80', Collins J. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
- 80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
- 85', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
- 86', Adeyemo A. ↓, Papadopoulos A. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Gardner J. ⚽, Hamilton E. (A),
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
55.7% | Draw
25.6% | Crawley Town
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lincoln City - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
3.72 ↑
(3.6) |
5.03 ↓
(5.82) |
5.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.
- Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Crawley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Crawley have a series of home games.
- In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Walker T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Flint J.
(Injury)
Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Red Card)
Mukena J.
(Injury)
Sandford R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B.
(Groin Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Mullarkey T.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Crawley Town?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Lincoln City?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Crawley Town were as follows:
30.11.2024
Crawley Town
-
Lincoln City
3:4
22.10.2024
Crawley Town
-
Lincoln City
3:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
