Result
4:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.19 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
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43% | 57% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
17 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
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7 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 12 |
Offsides |
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6 | 1 |
Fouls |
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12 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 17 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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32 | 20 |
Passes |
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67% (240/356) | 76% (369/485) |
Passes in the final third |
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58% (61/105) | 59% (85/143) |
Crosses |
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25% (6/24) | 18% (2/11) |
Tackles |
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70% (16/23) | 43% (6/14) |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Collins J. ⚽, Jefferies D. (A),
- 24', 2 - 1, Makama J. ⚽,
- 32', 3 - 1, Jefferies D. ⚽, Makama J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Feely R. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 64', Jefferies D. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
- 64', Makama J. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 64', Conroy D. ↓, Tanimu B. ↑,
- 72', Bayliss T. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
- 74', Doyle K. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 80', Collins J. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
- 80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
- 85', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
- 86', Adeyemo A. ↓, Papadopoulos A. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Gardner J. ⚽, Hamilton E. (A),
Chances of winning
Lincoln City 55.7% | Draw 25.6% | Crawley Town 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lincoln City - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.61) |
3.72 ↑ (3.6) |
5.03 ↓ (5.82) |
5.4% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.
- Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Crawley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Crawley have a series of home games.
- In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Walker T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Flint J.
(Injury)
Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Red Card)
Mukena J.
(Injury)
Sandford R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B.
(Groin Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Mullarkey T.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Crawley Town?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Lincoln City?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Crawley Town were as follows:
30.11.2024
Crawley Town
-
Lincoln City
3:4
22.10.2024
Crawley Town
-
Lincoln City
3:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two