Lincoln City vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Lincoln City - Crawley Town
Result
4:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.91
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
177
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
512
Offsides
61
Fouls
125
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2417
Touches in the Opposition Box
3220
Passes
67% (240/356)76% (369/485)
Passes in the final third
58% (61/105)59% (85/143)
Crosses
25% (6/24)18% (2/11)
Tackles
70% (16/23)43% (6/14)
Clearances Total
2626
Interceptions
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Doyle K. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Collins J. , Jefferies D. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 1, Makama J. ,
  • 32', 3 - 1, Jefferies D. , Makama J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Feely R. , Watson L. ,
  • 64', Jefferies D. , Gardner J. ,
  • 64', Makama J. , House B. ,
  • 64', Conroy D. , Tanimu B. ,
  • 72', Bayliss T. , Clucas S. ,
  • 74', Doyle K. , Holohan G. ,
  • 80', Collins J. , Cadamarteri B. ,
  • 80', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Hamilton E. ,
  • 85', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 86', Adeyemo A. , Papadopoulos A. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Gardner J. , Hamilton E. (A),

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
55.7%
Draw
25.6%
Crawley Town
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.7% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lincoln City - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)
    3.72
    (3.6)
    5.03
    (5.82)
    5.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.
    • Lincoln is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Crawley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Crawley have a series of home games.
    • In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Walker T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Flint J. (Injury) Hepburn-Murphy R. (Red Card) Mukena J. (Injury) Sandford R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Groin Injury) Erhahon E. (Inactive) Moylan J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Mullarkey T. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Crawley Town were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Crawley Town - Lincoln City 3:4
    22.10.2024 Crawley Town - Lincoln City 3:0
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luton11001:013
    2Stockport County00000:000
    3Bolton00000:000
    4Reading00000:000
    5Wigan00000:000
    6Barnsley00000:000
    7Blackpool00000:000
    8Cardiff00000:000
    9Plymouth00000:000
    10Doncaster00000:000
    11Huddersfield00000:000
    12Leyton Orient00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two