Result
 
                    0:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        29/03/2025 at  11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League One - Round 39
 
                                                - Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.41 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (209/307) | 80% (325/405) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.41 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.97 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 10 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 15 | 32 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 68% (209/307) | 80% (325/405) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 33% (13/39) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 58% (78/134) | 75% (83/111) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 22% (2/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.84 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 6 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 64% (9/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 54 | 56 | 
| Clearances Total | 
|---|
| 12 | 39 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.42 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -2.03 | 0.42 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 21', Sibley L. 🟨, 
 - 23', 0 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Quitirna A. (A), 
 - 45+3', Watson L. ↓, Camara P. ↑, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 3)
 - 46', Sibley L. ↓, Kelly L. ↑, 
 - 46', Mpanzu P. ↓, Holmes J. ↑, 
 - 52', 0 - 2, Doyle K. ⚽, Hepburn-Murphy R. (A), 
 - 59', Ibrahim B. 🟨, 
 - 59', Wilks M. 🟨, 
 - 72', Doyle K. ↓, Forster H. ↑, 
 - 82', Forster H. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑, 
 - 83', Kelly J. ↓, Holohan G. ↑, 
 - 84', 0 - 3, Holohan G. ⚽, Camara P. (A), 
 - 87', 0 - 4, Camara P. ⚽, Fraser L. (A), 
 - 89', Nombe S. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Rotherham United  57.5% | Draw  22.8% | Crawley Town  19.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Rotherham United - Crawley Town Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.64 ↑ (1.47) | 
			   4.11 ↓ (4.49) | 
			   4.72 ↓ (6.25) | 
			   6.4% (6.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Crawley Town?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            9 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 35.9% – 97.5%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two). 
 - Recent matches Rotherham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
 - In this match Rotherham is a favorite.
 - There will not play in Rotherham: Gore D.
(Leg Injury)
Jules Z.
(Injury)
MacDonald A.
(Hip Injury)
Raggett S.
(Knee Injury)
 - There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
 - There are questionable in Rotherham: Hugill J.
(Inactive)
 - Last 4 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1). 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Crawley Town?
                    
                    
                        
                            Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Rotherham United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Crawley Town were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.11.2024 
                                Crawley Town 
                                - 
                                Rotherham United 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Rotherham United                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Crawley Town                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League One Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 | 
| 2 | Bradford City | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 | 
| 3 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 | 
| 4 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 | 
| 5 | Lincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 | 
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 | 
| 8 | Mansfield | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 22 | 
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 | 
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | 
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 | 
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 | 
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | 
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 | 
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 | 
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | 
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 | 
| 21 | Port Vale | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Plymouth | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 | 
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 | 
      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two