Shrewsbury Town vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.49
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
77% (232/300)91% (624/687)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.77
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
714
Passes
77% (232/300)91% (624/687)
Long passes
39% (23/59)53% (17/32)
Passes in final third
62% (45/73)77% (109/142)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.62
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
147
Tackles
67% (14/21)71% (5/7)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
1621
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.771.51
Goals prevented
-0.240.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Fraser L. 🟨,
  • 34', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Feeney J. 🟥,
  • 50', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. (Pen),
  • 56', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Anderson M. , Camara P. (A),
  • 61', Stewart C. , Oliver V. ,
  • 61', Lloyd G. , Perry T. ,
  • 64', Kelly J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 74', Nurse G. 🟨,
  • 78', Holohan G. , Doyle K. ,
  • 79', Biggins H. , England I. ,
  • 79', Roles J. , Papadopoulos A. ,
  • 81', Benning M. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Benning M. , Oliver V. (A),
  • 89', Gilliead A. , Pierre A. ,
  • 90+3', Nsiala A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', England I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
34.6%
Draw
25.8%
Crawley Town
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 26.8% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Shrewsbury Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.72)
    3.67
    (3.6)
    2.36
    (2.4)
    6.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: Shrewsbury Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Shrewsbury is Relegated to League Two
    • Crawley is Relegated to League Two
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2.
    • Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Crawley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Ojo F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Forster H. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town 3:5
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huddersfield11003:033
    2Wigan11003:123
    3Barnsley11003:123
    4Stockport County11002:023
    5Lincoln11002:023
    6Stevenage11003:213
    7Cardiff11002:113
    8Bradford City11002:113
    9Rotherham11002:113
    10Burton11002:113
    11Doncaster11001:013
    12Luton11001:013
    13Blackpool10012:3-10
    14Port Vale10011:2-10
    15Wycombe10011:2-10
    16Mansfield10011:2-10
    17Peterborough10011:2-10
    18Exeter10010:1-10
    19AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10
    20Plymouth10011:3-20
    21Northampton10011:3-20
    22Bolton10010:2-20
    23Reading10010:2-20
    24Leyton Orient10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two