Swindon Town vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

League Two - Round 21
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	2.05
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
6	16
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	11
Passes
67% (186/279)	73% (286/391)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	2.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.48	0.29
Total shots
6	16
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
2	8
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
1	11
Touches in opposition box
11	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
67% (186/279)	73% (286/391)
Long passes
39% (33/84)	39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
58% (49/84)	57% (69/121)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	26% (9/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.18	1.61
Throw-ins
24	42
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
59% (13/22)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
74	61
Clearances
59	45
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.29	1.48
Goals prevented
0.29	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Forster H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Davies H. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Palmer O. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
63', Bajrami G. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
64', Mabete F. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
64', Oldaker D. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
79', Nichols T. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
82', Williams J. 🟨,
84', Roles J. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
84', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
85', Snowdon J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
90+8', Palmer O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
55.8%

Draw
22.9%

Crawley Town
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22%

19.9%

Swindon Town - Crawley Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	4.1 ↑ (3.96)	4.37 ↓ (4.38)	6.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Crawley Town?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Swindon is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Drinan A. (Red Card) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Inactive) Tafazolli R. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
We predict that Swindon will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crawley Town?

Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Swindon Town?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Crawley Town were as follows:

13.08.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 4:2

01.01.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 3:1

26.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 6:0

08.05.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 2:1

03.12.2022 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 2:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 0:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swindon Town - Bolton Wanderers 4:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Swindon Town - Peterborough United 1:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Chesterfield - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Crawley Town

13.12.2025 Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic 2:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Bromley - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Salford City - Crawley Town 4:3 ✺

22.11.2025 Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Gillingham - Crawley Town 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League