Crawley Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 36
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	2.76
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	6
Big chances
0	7
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
67% (237/355)	60% (167/279)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	2.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	1.61
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
10	9
Shots outside the box
8	0
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
0	7
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
32	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
10	12
Passes
67% (237/355)	60% (167/279)
Long passes
33% (31/93)	35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
53% (73/139)	44% (28/64)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.44
Throw ins
31	27
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
75% (9/12)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
48	64
Clearances
25	51
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.61	1.20
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Snowdon J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
45', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Clarke O. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Lolos K. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
57', Palmer O. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', McGregor J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
69', Borland A. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
78', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
82', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Bodin B. ⚽,
90+3', Lolos K. 🟨,
90+6', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Gordon K. ⚽, Forster H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
29%

Draw
25.8%

Swindon Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Crawley Town - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Malone S. (Injury) Richards L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Swindon Town?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crawley Town?

Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Swindon Town were as follows:

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0

13.08.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 4:2

01.01.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 3:1

26.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 6:0

08.05.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

28.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Crawley Town - Cambridge United 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town 3:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Swindon Town - Newport County 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League