Result
2:2
01/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (172/244) | 84% (405/485) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 73% (130/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 28% (9/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Zanimacchia L. ⚽, Nasti M. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽, Torregrossa E. (A),
- 32', Antov V. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Cherubini L. ⚽, Guarino G. (A),
- 45', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Nasti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Antov V. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
- 46', Nasti M. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
- 53', Belloni N. 🟨,
- 54', Vazquez F. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 57', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
- 59', Belloni N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 59', Torregrossa E. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 64', Vandeputte J. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
- 72', Finotto M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 74', Cherubini L. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 76', Cerri L. 🟨,
- 77', Melegoni F. 🟨,
- 81', Majer Z. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Johnsen D. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 89', Zuelli E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 90+4', Pickel C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
24% | Draw
30.5% | Cremonese
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Carrarese - Cremonese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.65) |
3.11 ↑
(3.08) |
2.08 ↓
(2.1) |
5.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Cremonese?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Carrarese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Cremonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cremonese will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M.
(Knock)
Cicconi M.
(Yellow Cards)
Coppolaro M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shpendi S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T.
(Yellow Cards)
Bianchetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
Castagnetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
Collocolo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Ravanelli L.
(Injury)
Saro G.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Cremonese?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cremonese won against Carrarese?
Cremonese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Cremonese were as follows:
24.08.2024
Cremonese
-
Carrarese
1:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Cremonese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
