Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (190/253) | 88% (440/500) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (190/253) | 88% (440/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (13/45) | 66% (38/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/82) | 77% (122/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 38% (15/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽, Bertagnoli M. (A),
- 23', Calabrese N. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 0, Bertagnoli M. ⚽, Lambourde M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Parlanti G. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 46', Finotto M. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 51', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 64', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
- 64', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 64', Oliana F. ↓, Illanes J. ↑,
- 73', Rouhi J. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 73', Lambourde M. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 80', Calabrese N. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 85', Hasa L. 🟨,
- 86', Gondo C. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
- 86', Portanova M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 90', Zanon S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
26.1% | Draw
30.5% | Carrarese
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Reggiana - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.88) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
2.16 ↓
(2.44) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 0.
- Reggiana is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carrarese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carrarese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A.
(Foot Injury)
Girma N.
(Inactive)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
Tripaldelli A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Belloni N.
(Red Card)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Rozzio P.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Carrarese?
Reggiana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Reggiana?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Carrarese were as follows:
22.11.2025
Carrarese
-
Reggiana
0:0
22.02.2025
Reggiana
-
Carrarese
2:2
28.09.2024
Carrarese
-
Reggiana
0:0
26.02.2023
Reggiana
-
Carrarese
0:0
24.10.2022
Carrarese
-
Reggiana
1:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
